NFL Betting Tips and Odds for Week 6, 2023
Last updated: Oct 15, 2023, 5:31AM | Published: Oct 15, 2023, 5:01AM
The best NFL betting tips for Week 6 of the 2023 NFL season have been unveiled.
Led by its expert team of data analysts, Stats Insider has conducted 10,000 simulations of each NFL Week 6 match to generate reliable probabilities, which we then compared to the odds to find the best NFL bets for punters all over the country.
All of our recommended bets for of the NFL season come straight from the renowned NFL Best Bets page on Stats Insider.
NFL Betting Tips: Week 6, 2023
After crunching the numbers and conducting thousands of simulations of this week's NFL games, our famous computer model has determined the best American footballbets for Week 6, 2023.
This week's NFL betting tips are led by Bears vs Vikings and Buccaneers vs Lions, with our advanced predictive model carefully aiming to detect valuable edges.
Vikings -3.0 vs Bears ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.70
- Edge: 8.9%
- Probability: 58.9%
- Match: Bears vs Vikings (Monday, 4:00AM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best NFL bet to make this week, focusing on the game between the Bears and Vikings. We recommend placing a line bet on Vikings -3.0, currently offered at odds of $1.91 at TAB. We have found a significant edge of 8.9% for this particular wager, which makes it our NFL bet of the round. MORE: NFL Value Bets Today
Brisbane 0 vs Buccaneers ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.70
- Edge: 8.9%
- Probability: 58.9%
- Matchup: Buccaneers vs Lions (Monday, 7:25AM AEDT)
Our model has uncovered another standout NFL bet, specifically in the matchup featuring the Buccaneers and Lions. We recommend considering a line wager on Brisbane 0, available at $1.91 odds through TAB. We have found a compelling edge of 8.9% for this particular bet.
Seahawks +2.5 vs Bengals ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.72
- Edge: 8.2%
- Probability: 58.2%
- Matchup: Bengals vs Seahawks (Monday, 4:00AM AEDT)
Another top tip for this week's American football action comes from the matchup between the Bengals and Seahawks. The play here is a line bet, with Seahawks +2.5 at enticing odds of $1.91 through TAB. Our model has found an advantageous edge of 8.2% for this particular wager.
Ravens H2H vs Titans ($1.42)
- Odds: $1.42 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.34
- Edge: 7.1%
- Probability: 74.8%
- Match: Titans vs Ravens (Monday, 12:30AM AEDT)
Our next betting tip for Round 6 of the NFL season stems from the game between the Titans and Ravens. The play here is a head-to-head bet on the Ravens to win, currently available at $1.42 odds through TAB. Our model has found a noteworthy 7.1% edge for this particular bet.
Bills vs Giants Under 44 Points ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.77
- Edge: 6.6%
- Probability: 56.6%
- Matchup: Bills vs. Giants (Monday, 11:20AM AEDT)
Next up, we're looking at the Bills vs. Giants matchup. Our model has its eyes on Under 44 Points, coming in at $1.91 odds. When comparing the best available over/under odds at TAB to our probabilities, we're talking about a tasty 6.6% edge here.
NFL Best Bets for Round 6, 2023
- Bears vs Vikings: Vikings -3.0 ($1.91 at TAB, 8.9% edge)
- Buccaneers vs Lions: Lions -3.0 ($1.91 at TAB, 8.9% edge)
- Bengals vs Seahawks: Seahawks +2.5 ($1.91 at TAB, 8.2% edge)
- Titans vs Ravens: Ravens to win ($1.42 at TAB, 7.1% edge)
- Bills vs Giants: Under 44 Points ($1.91 at TAB, 6.6% edge)
MORE: Every NFL Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NFL Week 6 Games to Bet on This Week
- Ravens vs Titans (Monday, 12:30AM)
- Commanders vs Falcons (Monday, 4:00AM)
- 49ers vs Browns (Monday, 4:00AM)
- Saints vs Texans (Monday, 4:00AM)
- Panthers vs Dolphins (Monday, 4:00AM)
- Seahawks vs Bengals (Monday, 4:00AM)
- Colts vs Jaguars (Monday, 4:00AM)
- Vikings vs Bears (Monday, 4:00AM)
- Patriots vs Raiders (Monday, 7:05AM)
- Cardinals vs Rams (Monday, 7:25AM)
- Lions vs Buccaneers (Monday, 7:25AM)
- Eagles vs Jets (Monday, 7:25AM)
- Giants vs Bills (Monday, 11:20AM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to present what our model believes are the correct odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we will say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is equivalent to fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be suggested at the time because the odds are longer than we think they should be.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we recommend a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Smarter NFL Betting Decisions
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If you decide to use our NFL tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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