North Melbourne vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 3, 2024
Last updated: Mar 29, 2024, 5:01AM | Published: Mar 25, 2024, 12:30AM
North Melbourne will take on the favoured Carlton in AFL Round 3 action at Marvel Stadium on Friday, beginning at 4:20pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the North Melbourne vs Carlton game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: North Melbourne vs Carlton
Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's North Melbourne-Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Blues an 83% chance of winning against the Kangaroos at Marvel Stadium.
More: North Melbourne vs Carlton Match Centre
North Melbourne vs Carlton: Odds
The current betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: North Melbourne $6.00, Carlton $1.19
- Line: North Melbourne +33.5 ($1.95), Carlton -33.5 ($2.04)
- Total (Over/Under 177.5 Points): Over $2.08, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has North Melbourne at $6.00 and Carlton at $1.19.
The Kangaroos are listed as 33.5-point underdogs against the Blues, with odds of $1.95 currently available at TAB.
For the favourite Blues (-33.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $2.04.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 177.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.08 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Kangaroos (+33.5) have a 60% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 177.5 points has a 57% chance of staying Under.
More: AFL Fixture Difficulty 2024
North Melbourne vs Carlton: Best Bets
- Head to Head: N Melbourne at $6.00 with (0.3% edge)
- Line: N Melbourne +33.5 at $1.95 with Betfair (60% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 177.5 at $1.91 with Betfair (57% probability) 🔥
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets for today across any sport.
Our North Melbourne vs Carlton betting tips are based on world-class modelling and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Blues have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Kangaroos to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
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North Melbourne vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for North Melbourne vs Carlton at Marvel Stadium this Friday has Carlton winning 99-73.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of North Melbourne vs Carlton on Friday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
North Melbourne vs Carlton: Goal Scorers
Are you looking for North Melbourne vs Carlton goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Harry McKay is the most likely player to kick the first goal in North Melbourne vs Carlton.
McKay has a 9.0% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Blues star has a 93.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 5.7% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 4.9% probability
- Paul Curtis: 3.7% probability
- Zane Duursma: 3.4% probability
- Jaidyn Stephenson: 3.0% probability
Carlton
- Harry McKay: 9.0% probability
- Charlie Curnow: 8.8% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 5.7% probability
- Matthew Owies: 5.2% probability
- Corey Durdin: 3.6% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 83.9% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 75.4% probability
- Paul Curtis: 66.8% probability
- Zane Duursma: 65.8% probability
- Jaidyn Stephenson: 56.0% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 93.9% probability
- Harry McKay: 93.2% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 81.1% probability
- Matthew Owies: 78.7% probability
- Corey Durdin: 61.9% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the North Melbourne vs Carlton match at Marvel Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
North Melbourne vs Carlton: Preview
The AFL Round 3 clash between the Kangaroos and Blues at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:20pm AEDT on Friday.
- Teams: North Melbourne vs Carlton
- Date: Friday 29 March 2024
- Time: 4:20pm AEDT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our North Melbourne vs Carlton predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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