North Melbourne vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 6, 2025
Apr 13, 2025, 10:46PM
North Melbourne will take on the favoured Carlton in AFL Round 6 action at Marvel Stadium on Friday, commencing at 3:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the North Melbourne vs Carlton game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's North Melbourne vs Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Blues a 69% chance of beating the Kangaroos at Marvel Stadium.
North Melbourne vs Carlton: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: North Melbourne $2.90, Carlton $1.42
- Line: North Melbourne +16.5 ($1.91), Carlton -16.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 179.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has North Melbourne at $2.90 and Carlton at $1.42.
The Kangaroos are 16.5-point underdogs against the Blues, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Blues (-16.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 179.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Kangaroos (+16.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 179.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
North Melbourne vs Carlton: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Carlton at $1.42 with Bet365
- Line: N Melbourne +16.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 179.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These North Melbourne vs Carlton predictions are based on market-leading modelling and betting expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
North Melbourne vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for North Melbourne vs Carlton at Marvel Stadium this Friday is Carlton winning 96-83.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the North Melbourne vs Carlton match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.North Melbourne vs Carlton: Goal Kickers
Looking for North Melbourne vs Carlton goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Charlie Curnow is the most likely player to kick the first goal in North Melbourne vs Carlton.
Curnow has a 10.4% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Blues star has a 96.7% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 6.8% probability
- Paul Curtis: 4.6% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 4.5% probability
- Jack Darling: 4.4% probability
- Jacob Konstanty: 2.8% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 10.4% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 4.5% probability
- Corey Durdin: 3.7% probability
- Jack Silvagni: 3.7% probability
- Elijah Hollands: 3.7% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 90.0% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 77.0% probability
- Paul Curtis: 74.9% probability
- Jack Darling: 71.8% probability
- Zane Duursma: 58.2% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 96.7% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 74.5% probability
- Jack Silvagni: 68.3% probability
- Elijah Hollands: 68.0% probability
- Zac Williams: 64.8% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the North Melbourne vs Carlton game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
North Melbourne vs Carlton: Essential Details
The AFL Round 6 clash between the Kangaroos and Blues at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:20pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: North Melbourne vs Carlton
- Date: Friday 18 April 2025
- Time: 3:20pm AEST
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our North Melbourne vs Carlton predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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