North Melbourne vs Geelong Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 20, 2024
Last updated: Jul 27, 2024, 3:01AM | Published: Jul 21, 2024, 11:14PM
North Melbourne will take on the favoured Geelong in AFL Round 20 action at Blundstone Arena on Saturday, starting at 1:45pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the North Melbourne vs Geelong game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's North Melbourne vs Geelong AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Cats a 77% chance of defeating the Kangaroos in Round 20 of the 2024 AFL season.
North Melbourne vs Geelong: Odds
The latest betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Blundstone Arena are listed below:
- Head to Head: North Melbourne $4.00, Geelong $1.32
- Line: North Melbourne +23.5 ($1.95), Geelong -23.5 ($2.00)
- Total (Over/Under 176.5 Points): Over $1.96, Under $2.00
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has North Melbourne at $4.00 and Geelong at $1.32.
The Kangaroos are listed as 23.5-point underdogs against the Cats, with odds of $1.95 available at Betfair.
For the favourite Cats (-23.5) to cover the line, Betfair offers odds of $2.00.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 176.5 with Betfair, which has odds of $1.96 for the over and $2.00 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Kangaroos (+23.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 176.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
North Melbourne vs Geelong: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Geelong at $1.32 with Betfair (77% probability)
- Line: N Melbourne +23.5 at $1.95 with Betfair (55% probability)
- Total Points: Under 176.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (53% probability)
These North Melbourne vs Geelong best bets are based on complex simulations and betting expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
North Melbourne vs Geelong: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for North Melbourne vs Geelong at Blundstone Arena this Saturday is Geelong winning 97-77.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the North Melbourne vs Geelong match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
North Melbourne vs Geelong: Goal Scorers
Looking for North Melbourne vs Geelong goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, N Melbourne's Nick Larkey is the most likely player to kick the first goal in North Melbourne vs Geelong.
Larkey has a 7.8% chance of kicking the first goal at Blundstone Arena, while the Kangaroos star has a 91.4% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 7.8% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 6.6% probability
- Paul Curtis: 3.3% probability
- Jaidyn Stephenson: 3.1% probability
- Robert Hansen: 2.6% probability
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 7.0% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 6.7% probability
- Shannon Neale: 4.8% probability
- Oliver Henry: 4.5% probability
- Brad Close: 3.7% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 91.4% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 85.2% probability
- Paul Curtis: 66.1% probability
- Jaidyn Stephenson: 61.8% probability
- Zane Duursma: 52.5% probability
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 87.7% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 85.7% probability
- Shannon Neale: 74.9% probability
- Oliver Henry: 73.4% probability
- Brad Close: 67.7% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the North Melbourne vs Geelong match.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
North Melbourne vs Geelong: Essential Details
The AFL Round 20 clash between the Kangaroos and Cats at Blundstone Arena is scheduled to begin at 1:45pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: North Melbourne vs Geelong
- Date: Saturday 27 July 2024
- Time: 1:45pm AEST
- Venue: Blundstone
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our North Melbourne vs Geelong predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.
