North Melbourne vs Gold Coast Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 17, 2024
Last updated: Jul 6, 2024, 3:33AM | Published: Jun 30, 2024, 11:11PM
North Melbourne will take on the favoured Gold Coast in AFL Round 17 action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, starting at 1:45pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the North Melbourne vs Gold Coast game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: North Melbourne vs Gold Coast
Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's North Melbourne-Gold Coast AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Suns a 73% chance of defeating the Kangaroos at Marvel Stadium.
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast: Odds
The latest betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: North Melbourne $4.00, Gold Coast $1.32
- Line: North Melbourne +20.5 ($2.06), Gold Coast -20.5 ($1.93)
- Total (Over/Under 169.5 Points): Over $1.83, Under $2.14
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change. Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has North Melbourne at $4.00 and Gold Coast at $1.32.
The Kangaroos are 20.5-point underdogs against the Suns, with odds of $2.06 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Suns (-20.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.93.
The over/under for North Melbourne vs Gold Coast sits at 169.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $1.83 and odds for the under at $2.14.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Kangaroos (+20.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the 169.5-point over/under has a 59% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets for Every AFL Match
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: North Melbourne at $4.00 with Betfair (2.4% edge)
- Line: N Melbourne +20.5 at $2.06 with Betfair (56% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 169.5 at $2.14 with Betfair (59% probability) 🔥
Every time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets of the day across all sports.
These North Melbourne vs Gold Coast best bets are based on market-leading modelling and wagering experience to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Suns have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Kangaroos to win is our recommended option due to the 2.4% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for North Melbourne vs Gold Coast at Marvel Stadium on Saturday has Gold Coast winning 90-74.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of North Melbourne vs Gold Coast on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live scores.
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast: Goal Scorers
Are you looking for North Melbourne vs Gold Coast goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, N Melbourne's Nick Larkey is the most likely player to kick the first goal in North Melbourne vs Gold Coast.
Larkey has an 8.6% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Kangaroos star has a 92.1% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 8.6% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 6.4% probability
- Paul Curtis: 4.5% probability
- Eddie Ford: 3.9% probability
- Jy Simpkin: 2.4% probability
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 8.3% probability
- Jack Lukosius: 6.6% probability
- Bailey Humphrey: 4.8% probability
- Sam Day: 4.6% probability
- Ben Ainsworth: 4.3% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 92.1% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 83.1% probability
- Paul Curtis: 71.6% probability
- Eddie Ford: 70.1% probability
- Jy Simpkin: 49.7% probability
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 91.4% probability
- Jack Lukosius: 85.6% probability
- Sam Day: 72.5% probability
- Ben Ainsworth: 71.8% probability
- Bailey Humphrey: 71.4% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the North Melbourne vs Gold Coast match at Marvel Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast: Preview
The AFL Round 17 clash between the Kangaroos and Suns at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:45pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: North Melbourne vs Gold Coast
- Date: Saturday 6 July 2024
- Time: 1:45pm AEST
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our North Melbourne vs Gold Coast predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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