North Melbourne vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 6, 2024
Last updated: Apr 21, 2024, 5:33AM | Published: Apr 15, 2024, 9:33AM
North Melbourne will play the favoured Hawthorn in AFL Round 6 action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 4:00pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the North Melbourne vs Hawthorn game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: North Melbourne vs Hawthorn
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's North Melbourne-Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 75% chance of defeating the Kangaroos at Marvel Stadium.
More: North Melbourne vs Hawthorn Match Centre
North Melbourne vs Hawthorn: Odds
The latest betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: North Melbourne $3.55, Hawthorn $1.38
- Line: North Melbourne +15.5 ($2.16), Hawthorn -15.5 ($1.82)
- Total (Over/Under 174.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.89
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has North Melbourne at $3.55 and Hawthorn at $1.38.
The Kangaroos are 15.5-point underdogs against the Hawks, with odds of $2.16 currently available at TAB.
For the favourite Hawks (-15.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.82.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 174.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.00 and odds for the Under at $1.89.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Hawks (-15.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 174.5 points has a 55% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Game
North Melbourne vs Hawthorn: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $1.38 with (75% probability)
- Line: N Melbourne +15.5 at $2.16 with Betfair (0.4% edge)
- Total Points: Under 174.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (55% probability)
Stats Insider's North Melbourne vs Hawthorn betting tips are based on detailed simulations and wagering intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Although the Hawks are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Kangaroos +15.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
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North Melbourne vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for North Melbourne vs Hawthorn at Marvel Stadium this Sunday has Hawthorn winning 95-76.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of North Melbourne vs Hawthorn on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
North Melbourne vs Hawthorn: Goal Scorers
Searching for North Melbourne vs Hawthorn goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, N Melbourne's Nick Larkey is the most likely player to kick the first goal in North Melbourne vs Hawthorn.
Larkey has a 7.8% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Kangaroos star has a 91.3% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 7.8% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 5.2% probability
- Paul Curtis: 4.6% probability
- Charlie Comben: 3.5% probability
- Eddie Ford: 3.1% probability
Hawthorn
- Jack Gunston: 7.4% probability
- Mabior Chol: 7.2% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 6.4% probability
- Dylan Moore: 4.8% probability
- Connor Macdonald: 3.7% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 91.3% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 79.4% probability
- Paul Curtis: 78.0% probability
- Eddie Ford: 63.5% probability
- Charlie Comben: 63.3% probability
Hawthorn
- Jack Gunston: 90.0% probability
- Mabior Chol: 89.0% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 84.6% probability
- Dylan Moore: 76.5% probability
- Connor Macdonald: 66.3% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the North Melbourne vs Hawthorn match at Marvel Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
North Melbourne vs Hawthorn: Preview
The AFL Round 6 clash between the Kangaroos and Hawks at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:00pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: North Melbourne vs Hawthorn
- Date: Sunday 21 April 2024
- Time: 4:00pm AEST
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our North Melbourne vs Hawthorn predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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