North Melbourne vs Richmond Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 21, 2024
Last updated: Aug 3, 2024, 3:34AM | Published: Jul 28, 2024, 12:02PM
North Melbourne will face Richmond in AFL Round 21 action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 1:45pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the North Melbourne vs Richmond game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's North Melbourne vs Richmond AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Tigers a 55% chance of winning against the Kangaroos at Marvel Stadium.
North Melbourne vs Richmond: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: North Melbourne $2.24, Richmond $1.79
- Line: North Melbourne +6.5 ($1.89), Richmond -6.5 ($2.02)
- Total (Over/Under 176.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.99
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has North Melbourne at $2.24 and Richmond at $1.79.
The Kangaroos are 6.5-point underdogs against the Tigers, with odds of $1.89 available at Betfair.
For the favourite Tigers (-6.5) to cover the line, Betfair offers odds of $2.02.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 176.5 with Betfair, which has odds of $2.00 for the over and $1.99 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Kangaroos (+6.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 176.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 57% of the time.
North Melbourne vs Richmond: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: North Melbourne at $2.24 with Betfair (0.2% edge)
- Line: N Melbourne +6.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (53% probability)
- Total Points: Under 176.5 at $1.99 with Betfair (57% probability) 🔥
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across all sports.
These North Melbourne vs Richmond predictions are based on market-leading modelling and betting expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Tigers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Kangaroos to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
North Melbourne vs Richmond: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for North Melbourne vs Richmond at Marvel Stadium this Saturday is Richmond winning 88-84.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the North Melbourne vs Richmond match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
North Melbourne vs Richmond: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for North Melbourne vs Richmond goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, N Melbourne's Nick Larkey is the most likely player to kick the first goal in North Melbourne vs Richmond.
Larkey has a 9.1% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Kangaroos star has a 93.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 9.1% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 6.6% probability
- Paul Curtis: 4.4% probability
- Eddie Ford: 4.1% probability
- Jaidyn Stephenson: 3.2% probability
Richmond
- Shai Bolton: 7.8% probability
- Jacob Koschitzke: 5.0% probability
- Dustin Martin: 4.9% probability
- Steely Green: 4.4% probability
- Tim Taranto: 3.4% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 93.5% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 88.1% probability
- Paul Curtis: 70.0% probability
- Eddie Ford: 70.0% probability
- Jaidyn Stephenson: 63.9% probability
Richmond
- Shai Bolton: 89.0% probability
- Dustin Martin: 77.2% probability
- Jacob Koschitzke: 75.9% probability
- Steely Green: 70.1% probability
- Tim Taranto: 61.1% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the North Melbourne vs Richmond game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
North Melbourne vs Richmond: Essential Details
The AFL Round 21 clash between the Kangaroos and Tigers at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:45pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: North Melbourne vs Richmond
- Date: Saturday 3 August 2024
- Time: 1:45pm AEST
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Our North Melbourne vs Richmond predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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