NRL Best Bets and Multi for Round 20, 2023

Last updated: Jul 16, 2023, 8:45AM | Published: Jul 12, 2023, 10:39AM

We have you covered when it comes to NRL betting tips and NRL best bets for this weekend's action, with Round 20 tips below.

In order to determine the best value for punters this week, Stats Insider has simulated every NRL Round 20 game 10,000 times each, comparing our probabilities to the odds available with PointsBet.

This week's NRL bets and odds are brought to you by PointsBet, where you can sign up to bet their revolutionary Spread Betting, as well as the best Fixed Odds in the game.

MORE: NRL Best Bets

NRL Betting Tips and Odds: Round 20

Sea Eagles +3.5 vs Cowboys at $1.95

The best NRL bet you can make this weekend according to our predictive analytics model is for the Sea Eagles to cover the +3.5 line against the Cowboys.

Our model is projecting this matchup to go right down to the wire, with the underdog Sea Eagles a 58% chance of covering the line, and a 45% chance of getting the win.

This 58% probability equates to fair odds of $1.78, meaning punters are gaining an edge of 6.5% on the PointsBet odds of $1.95.

Sea Eagles vs Cowboys is at 4 Pines Park on Saturday, July 15 at 5:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

MORE: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 20, 2023

Dolphins +15.5 vs Panthers at $1.90

After successfully tipping them to cover the +3.5 line against the Titans last week, we are again backing the NRL's newest team and betting the Dolphins +15.5 against the NRL premiership favourite Penrith Panthers.

After simulating this matchup 10,000 times, we are projecting the Phins as a 58% chance of covering the line, equating to fair odds of $1.73.

If you're feeling brave, our model has also detected an edge of 4.3% on their $5.50 head-to-head odds with PointsBet.

Dolphins vs Panthers is at Kayo Stadium on Sunday, July 16 at 4:05pm.

Bailey Simonsson (Eels) Anytime Try Scorer at $2.20

For this week's final NRL matchup, we are taking Bailey Simmonsson to score a try as his Eels take on the Titans in Parramatta.

Simmonsson has scored 9 tries in 13 appearances for Parra this season, with eight of those coming in his last seven games.

As for this weekend, our model projects him as the Eels third most likely scorer, with his probability of 50.4% equating to fair odds of $1.98.

Eels vs Titans is at CommBank Stadium on Sunday, July 16 at 6:15pm.

NRL Multi Bet for Round 20

Our NRL multi for Round 20 has been chosen following thousands of simulations of every NRL game this week.

The best NRL multi for Round 20 can be found below:

Sea Eagles +3.5 vs Cowboys at $1.95
Dolphins +15.5 vs Panthers at $1.90
Bailey Simonsson anytime try scorer at $2.20

NRL multi odds: $8.15 (via PointsBet)

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.

If you decide to use our NRL best bets for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.