NRL Best Bets and Multi for Round 21, 2023
Last updated: Jul 23, 2023, 10:26AM | Published: Jul 20, 2023, 12:34PM
We have you covered when it comes to NRL betting tips and NRL best bets for this weekend's action, with Round 21 best bets below.
In order to deliver the best value for punters this week, Stats Insider has simulated every NRL Round 21 game 10,000 times, comparing our probabilities to the odds available with PointsBet.
This week's NRL bets and odds are brought to you by PointsBet, where you can sign up to bet on their revolutionary Spread Betting, as well as the best Fixed Odds in the game.
MORE: NRL Best Bets
NRL Betting Tips and Odds: Round 21
Warriors vs Raiders Total Points Under 42.5 at $1.80
One of best NRL bets you can make this weekend according to our predictive analytics model is for the Warriors vs Raiders total points under 42.5.
Our model is projecting this matchup to end 23-18 in favour of the Warriors over the Raiders, which would put the total score under the 42.5 threshold.
This 59% probability equates to fair odds of $1.68, meaning punters are gaining an edge of 4% on the PointsBet odds of $1.80.
Warriors vs Raiders is at Go Media Stadium on Friday, July 21 at 6:00pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
MORE: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 21, 2023
Titans +3.5 vs Roosters at $1.95
The Titans host the Roosters at Cbus Super Stadium on Saturday afternoon, with Titans +3.5 our NRL predictive model's bet of choice.
After simulating this matchup 10,000 times, we are projecting the Titans as a 56% chance of covering the line, equating to fair odds of $1.79.
With $1.95 on offer at PointsBet for the Titans to cover the line, punters are gaining an edge of 5% on the home side on Saturday.
Titans vs Roosters is at Cbus Super Stadium on Saturday, July 22 at 3:00pm.
Knights +8.5 vs Storm at $1.90
The final leg of our PointsBet NRL multi for Round 21 is Knights +8.5 against the Storm.
Last week the Knights won 34-18 against the Tigers, their second win in a row. The Storm were also victorious in Round 20, and as a consequence moved into outright second with Stats Insider's NRL premiership probabilities following their win over the Roosters.
The Knights are given a 58% probability of covering the line against the Storm by our NRL predictive model, with fair odds of $1.78. That makes the $1.90 on offer at PointsBetfor Knights +8.5 against the Storm one of our best NRL bets of Round 21.
Knights vs Storm is at McDonald Jones Stadium on Saturday, July 22 at 5:30pm.
NRL Multi Bet for Round 21
Our NRL multi for Round 21 has been chosen following thousands of simulations of every NRL game this week.
The best NRL multi for Round 21 can be found below:
- Warriors vs Raiders Under 42.5 at $1.80
- Titans +3.5 vs Roosters at $1.95
- Knights +8.5 vs Storm at $1.90
NRL multi odds: $6.66 (via PointsBet)
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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