NRL Best Bets and Multi for Round 23, 2023
Last updated: Aug 6, 2023, 8:16AM | Published: Aug 3, 2023, 2:33AM
Looking for NRL betting tips and NRL best bets for this weekend's action? We have NRL best bets for Round 23 below.
Stats Insider has simulated every NRL Round 23 game 10,000 times before comparing our probabilities to the odds available with PointsBet.
This week's NRL bets and odds are brought to you by PointsBet, where you can sign up to bet and take advantage of their revolutionary Spread Betting, as well as the best Fixed Odds in the game.
MORE: NRL Best Bets
NRL Betting Tips and Odds: Round 23
Roosters vs Sea Eagles Total Score Over 42.5 at $1.90
One of the best NRL bets you can make this weekend, according to our predictive analytics model, is for the Roosters vs Sea Eagles total score to be over 42.5.
After 10,000 simulations of this contest, our model is projecting this matchup to end 25-21 in favour of the Roosters, which would put the total score over the 42.5 total points line.
This 57% probability equates to fair odds of $1.76, meaning our model has found an edge of 4% on the PointsBet odds of $1.90 for Roosters vs Sea Eagles total score over 42.5.
Roosters vs Sea Eagles is at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Thursday, August 3 at 7:50pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
MORE: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 23, 2023
Titans +9.5 vs Warriors at $1.90
The second leg of our NRL multi is Titans +9.5 against the Warriors on Friday afternoon.
Following 10,000 simulations of the outcome of Titans vs Warriors, our NRL predictive model is projecting the margin to be 25-21 in favour of the Warriors, which would see Gold Coast cover the line.
With $1.90 on offer at PointsBet for the Bulldogs to cover the line, punters are gaining an edge of 7% on the Titans +9.5 against the Warriors on Friday.
Titans vs Warriors is at Cbus Super Stadium on Friday, August 4 at 6:00pm.
Dolphins +9.5 vs Knights at $1.95
The final leg of our NRL multi for Round 23 is Dolphins +9.5 against the Knights at Optus Stadium.
The Dolphins come into this game on the back of a 22-23 loss to the Bulldogs, while the Knights continue to push for a finals berth following their fourth straight victory in Round 22.
The Knights have a 34.5% probability to make the 2023 NRL finals according to Stats Insider's NRL futures model.
Stats Insider's fair odds for this matchup has the Dolphins at $1.73 to cover the line, which makes the $1.90 on offer at PointsBet for Dolphins +9.5 against the Knights one of our best NRL bets of Round 23.
Dolphins vs Knights is at Optus Stadium on Saturday, August 5 at 5:30pm.
NRL Multi Bet for Round 23
Our NRL multi for Round 23 has been chosen following thousands of simulations of every NRL game this week.
The best NRL multi for Round 23 can be found below:
- Roosters vs Sea Eagles Total Score Over 42.5 at $1.90
- Titans +9.5 vs Warriors at $1.90
- Dolphins +9.5 vs Knights at $1.95
NRL multi odds: $7.03 (via PointsBet)
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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