NRL Best Bets and Multi for Preliminary Finals 2022

Sep 23, 2022, 5:32AM

The penultimate round of the 2022 NRL season is here this weekend, and Stats Insider has NRL betting tips for both preliminary finals.

After simulating each 2022 NRL preliminary final 10,000 times, we have a bet for both Cowboys vs Eels and Panthers vs Rabbitohs.

With NRL best bets and NRL odds provided every week of the 2022 season, check out our NRL betting tips for the preliminary finals below, thanks to BlueBet.

NRL Preliminary Finals 2022 Bets and Odds

Mitchell Moses Under 63.5 Player Performance Points at $1.85

With our model projecting the Cowboys as having a 56% chance of winning, the best value for this game appears to be on Mitchell Moses' impact to be stifled.

BlueBet has set Moses' player performance number at 63.5 for this one, which our model suggests is too high. Of course, if the Eels are to pull off the win, Moses will need to be heavily involved, but the smart play here is to take him to go under.

Our fair odds for Moses to go under this number are $1.63, with value to be found in the $1.85 on offer at BlueBet.

Cowboys vs Eels is at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Friday, September 23 at 7:50pm AEST.

MORE: NRL True Kicker Ratings

Rabbitohs +8.5 at $1.90

The Rabbitohs come into this game against the Panthers in great form, having won nine of their last 12 matches, with only one loss in that time coming by over 8.5 points.

With the line set at 8.5 points for this one, our model is projecting the Rabbitohs to cover the line with a 57% probability.

A 57% probability equates to fair odds of $1.76, with BlueBet offering value at $1.91.

Panthers vs Rabbitohs is at Accor Stadium on Saturday, September 24 at 7:50pm AEST.

Looking for more? Check out our most likely NRL Anytime Try Scorers for Preliminary Finals 2022.

NRL Multi Bet (2022 Preliminary Finals)

If you're looking to juice up your NRL betting this week, then a multi of our model's best NRL bets is the way to go for Week 3 of the 2022 NRL finals.

Moses under 63.5 player performance points ($1.85)
Rabbitohs +8.5 ($1.85)
Multi odds = $3.42

Multi odds via BlueBet.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.