NRL Best Bets and Same Game Multi for Grand Final 2022

Sep 28, 2022, 5:23AM

The NRL Grand Final 2022 is here this weekend, and Stats Insider has NRL betting tips for the big game.

After simulating the 2022 NRL Grand Final 10,000 times using advanced machine learning, we have betting tips for the Panthers vs Eels match.

With NRL best bets and NRL odds provided every week of the 2022 season, check out our bets for this year's Grand Final below, thanks to BlueBet.

NRL Grand Final 2022 Bets and Odds

Eels +8.5 at $1.91

The best bet you can make on the 2022 NRL Grand Final, according to our predictive analytics model, is for the Eels to cover the +8.5 line.

Although we have a slight edge on the Eels to win outright, with our fair odds at $3.04 and BlueBet's at $3.20, the likelihood of the underdogs covering (57% probability) is far greater.

The Eels have won six of their past seven games overall, and have also taken down the Panthers on two occasions in 2022 alone.

Our fair odds for the Eels to cover +8.5 are $1.76, which gives us a 4% edge on the $1.91 available at BlueBet.

Total Points Over 38.5 at $1.95

The Panthers and Eels have met three times already this season, with the only game not to go over 38.5 points being when Parramatta scored just eight points.

After simulating the Grand Final 10,000 times, the over is the more likely result, at a 54% probability.

This 54% probability equates to implied fair odds of $1.84, giving us another edge against BlueBet who are offering $1.95.

Panthers vs Eels is at Accor Stadium on Sunday, October 2 at 7:30pm AEST.

Bonus Bet: Brian To'o Anytime Try at $1.90

Although there's minimal value in the 2022 Grand Final try scorer market according to our model, Brian To'o is the player most likely to score in the game.

To'o has scored five tries in his last three games, including three in the Panthers' two 2022 finals thus far.

With an anytime try probability of 44.2%, To'o's fair odds are $2.26, while BlueBet is offering up $1.90.

Looking for more? Check out our most likely NRL Anytime Try Scorers for Grand Final 2022.

NRL Same Game Multi Bet (2022 Grand Final)

If you're looking to juice up your NRL betting this week, then you could try a same-game multi of the above NRL bets for the 2022 Grand Final between the Penrith Panthers and Parramatta Eels.

Eels to cover +8.5 ($1.91)
Total points over 38.5 ($1.95)
Multi odds = $3.71

Multi odds via BlueBet.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.