NRL Betting Tips and Odds for Round 10, 2024
Last updated: May 9, 2024, 2:31AM | Published: May 9, 2024, 2:02AM
The best NRL betting tips for Round 10 of the 2024 NRL season have been revealed.
Led by Stats Insider's expert team of data analysts, we have used our independent computer model to simulate each NRL Round 10 match 10,000 times and find the best NRL bets for punters across the nation.
The odds below are brought to you by PointsBet, which offers more betting markets on the NRL than any other bookmaker in the world.
Each one of the recommended bets for Round 10 of the NRL season come directly from the renowned NRL Value Bets page on Stats Insider.
NRL Betting Tips: Round 10, 2024
After diving deep into the numbers and running thousands of simulations of this week's NRL matches, our leading computer model has determined the best rugby league bets for Round 10, 2024.
After simulating all of the NRL Round 10 action, our model has found the best bet to make right now, which comes in the Titans vs Cowboys matchup. Scroll down to see the bet, ensuring you can get in on the action before any change to the line or the odds.
Cowboys -2.5 vs Titans ($1.90)
- Odds: $1.90 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.56
- Edge: 11.4%
- Probability: 64%
- Match: Titans vs Cowboys (Sunday, 4:05PM AEST)
Our model has pinpointed the best NRL bet to make this week, focusing on the game between the Titans and Cowboys. We recommend placing a bet on Cowboys -2.5, currently offered at odds of $1.90 at TAB. We have found a significant edge of 11.4% for this particular wager, which makes it our NRL bet of the round.
MORE: NRL Value Bets Today
NRL Best Bets for Round 10, 2024
- Titans vs Cowboys: Cowboys -2.5 ($1.90 at TAB, 11.4% edge)
MORE: Every NRL Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NRL Round 10 Games to Bet on This Week
- Sea Eagles vs Dolphins (Thursday, 7:50PM)
- Bulldogs vs Panthers (Friday, 6:00PM)
- Broncos vs Eels (Friday, 8:00PM)
- Knights vs Tigers (Saturday, 3:00PM)
- Rabbitohs vs Dragons (Saturday, 5:30PM)
- Sharks vs Storm (Saturday, 7:35PM)
- Warriors vs Roosters (Sunday, 2:00PM)
- Cowboys vs Titans (Sunday, 4:05PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to show what our model thinks are the correct odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we'll say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is equivalent to fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be recommended at the time because the odds are longer than we think they should be.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we suggest a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NRL tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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