NRL Betting Tips and Odds for Round 14, 2024
Last updated: Jun 6, 2024, 2:31AM | Published: Jun 6, 2024, 2:01AM
The best NRL betting tips for Round 14 of the 2024 NRL season have been unveiled.
Led by Stats Insider's expert team of data analysts, we have used our independent computer model to simulate each NRL Round 14 game 10,000 times and find the best NRL bets for punters all over the nation.
The following odds were found at PointsBet, which offers more betting markets on the NRL than any other bookmaker in the world.
Each one of our suggested bets for Round 14 of the NRL season come directly from the popular NRL Best Bets page on Stats Insider.
MORE: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 14, 2024
NRL Betting Tips: Round 14, 2024
After diving deep into the numbers and running thousands of simulations of this week's NRL matches, our independent computer model has determined the best rugby league bets for Round 14, 2024.
After simulating all of the NRL Round 14 action, our model has found the best bet to make right now, which comes in the Panthers vs Sea Eagles matchup. Scroll down to see the bet, ensuring you can get in on the action before any change to the line or the odds.
Panthers H2H vs Sea Eagles ($1.42)
- Odds: $1.42 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.28
- Edge: 7.4%
- Probability: 77.9%
- Match: Panthers vs Sea Eagles (Sunday, 4:05PM AEST)
Our model has pinpointed the best NRL bet to make this week, focusing on the match between the Panthers and Sea Eagles. We recommend placing a head-to-head bet on Panthers to win, currently offered at odds of $1.42 at TAB. We have detected a significant edge of 7.4% for this particular wager, which makes it our NRL bet of the round.
MORE: NRL Value Bets Today
NRL Best Bets for Round 14, 2024
- Panthers vs Sea Eagles: Panthers to win ($1.42 at TAB, 7.4% edge)
MORE: Every NRL Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NRL Round 14 Games to Bet on This Week
- Tigers vs Dragons (Friday, 8:00PM)
- Rabbitohs vs Titans (Saturday, 3:00PM)
- Warriors vs Cowboys (Saturday, 5:30PM)
- Sharks vs Broncos (Saturday, 7:35PM)
- Knights vs Storm (Sunday, 2:00PM)
- Sea Eagles vs Panthers (Sunday, 4:05PM)
- Eels vs Bulldogs (Monday, 4:00PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to show what our model believes are the right odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we will say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is equivalent to fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be recommended at the time because the odds are longer than we think they should be.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we recommend a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NRL tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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