NRL Betting Tips and Odds for Round 15, 2024
Last updated: Jun 13, 2024, 2:31AM | Published: Jun 13, 2024, 2:03AM
The best NRL betting tips for Round 15 of the 2024 NRL season have been unveiled.
Led by Stats Insider's expert team of data analysts, we have used our reliable computer model to simulate every NRL Round 15 match 10,000 times and find the best NRL bets for punters across the country.
The odds below have been sourced from PointsBet, which offers more betting markets on the NRL than any other bookmaker in the world.
Each one of our recommended bets for Round 15 of the NRL season come directly from the popular NRL Best Bets page on Stats Insider.
MORE: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 15, 2024
NRL Betting Tips: Round 15, 2024
After crunching the numbers and conducting thousands of simulations of this week's NRL matches, our independent computer model has determined the best rugby league bets for you in Round 15, 2024.
After simulating all of the NRL Round 15 action, our model has found the best bet to make right now, which comes in the Raiders vs Cowboys matchup. Scroll down to see the bet, ensuring you can get in on the action before any change to the line or the odds.
Raiders vs Cowboys Under 49.5 Points ($1.90)
- Odds: $1.90 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.64
- Edge: 8.4%
- Probability: 61%
- Match: Raiders vs Cowboys (Friday, 6:00PM AEST)
Our model has pinpointed the best NRL bet to make this week, focusing on the matchup between the Raiders and Cowboys. We recommend placing an over/under bet on Under 49.5 Points, currently offered at odds of $1.90 at TAB. We have found a significant edge of 8.4% for this particular wager, which makes it our NRL bet of the round.
MORE: NRL Value Bets Today
NRL Best Bets for Round 15, 2024
- Raiders vs Cowboys: Under 49.5 Points ($1.90 at TAB, 8.4% edge)
MORE: Every NRL Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NRL Round 15 Games to Bet on This Week
- Dolphins vs Sharks (Thursday, 7:50PM)
- Cowboys vs Raiders (Friday, 6:00PM)
- Broncos vs Rabbitohs (Friday, 8:00PM)
- Titans vs Tigers (Saturday, 3:00PM)
- Storm vs Warriors (Saturday, 5:30PM)
- Roosters vs Eels (Saturday, 7:35PM)
- Dragons vs Sea Eagles (Sunday, 2:00PM)
- Panthers vs Knights (Sunday, 4:05PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to show what our model thinks are the correct odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we will say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is the same as fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be suggested at the time because the odds are longer than we think they should be.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we suggest a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Smarter NRL Betting Decisions
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NRL tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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