NRL Betting Tips and Odds for Round 17, 2024
Last updated: Jun 27, 2024, 2:31AM | Published: Jun 27, 2024, 2:02AM
The best NRL betting tips for Round 17 of the 2024 NRL season have been revealed.
Led by its expert team of data analysts, Stats Insider has run 10,000 simulations of each NRL Round 17 match to produce accurate probabilities. These probabilities are then compared to the odds to find the best NRL bets for punters across the country.
The odds below have been sourced from PointsBet, which offers more betting markets on the NRL than any other bookmaker in the world.
Each one of the suggested bets for Round 17 of the NRL season come directly from the renowned NRL Value Bets page on Stats Insider.
MORE: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 17, 2024
NRL Betting Tips: Round 17, 2024
After crunching the numbers and conducting thousands of simulations of this week's NRL matches, our famous computer model has found the best rugby league bets for you in Round 17, 2024.
After simulating all of the NRL Round 17 action, our model has found the best bet to make right now, which comes in the Panthers vs Cowboys matchup. Scroll down to see the bet, ensuring you can get in on the action before any change to the line or the odds.
Panthers -10.5 vs Cowboys ($1.90)
- Odds: $1.90 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.71
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 58.4%
- Match: Panthers vs Cowboys (Sunday, 4:05PM AEST)
Our model has pinpointed the best NRL bet to make this week, focusing on the matchup between the Panthers and Cowboys. We recommend placing a bet on Panthers -10.5, currently offered at odds of $1.90 at TAB. We have detected a significant edge of 5.8% for this particular wager, which makes it our NRL bet of the round.
MORE: NRL Value Bets Today
NRL Best Bets for Round 17, 2024
- Panthers vs Cowboys: Panthers -10.5 ($1.90 at TAB, 5.8% edge)
MORE: Every NRL Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NRL Round 17 Games to Bet on This Week
- Sharks vs Bulldogs (Friday, 8:00PM)
- Broncos vs Warriors (Saturday, 3:00PM)
- Eels vs Knights (Saturday, 5:30PM)
- Raiders vs Storm (Saturday, 7:35PM)
- Dolphins vs Dragons (Sunday, 2:00PM)
- Cowboys vs Panthers (Sunday, 4:05PM)
- Tigers vs Roosters (Sunday, 6:15PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to present what our model believes are the correct odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we will say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is the same as fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be recommended at the time because we think the odds should be shorter.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we suggest a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Smarter NRL Betting Decisions
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NRL tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.
