NRL Betting Tips and Odds for Round 19, 2024
Last updated: Jul 11, 2024, 2:32AM | Published: Jul 11, 2024, 2:02AM
The best NRL betting tips for Round 19 of the 2024 NRL season have been unveiled.
Led by Stats Insider's expert team of data analysts, we have used our powerful computer model to simulate every NRL Round 19 game 10,000 times and find the best NRL bets for punters across the nation.
The odds below were found at PointsBet, which offers more betting markets on the NRL than any other bookmaker in the world.
Each one of our suggested bets for Round 19 of the NRL season come straight from the popular NRL Value Bets page on Stats Insider.
MORE: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 19, 2024
NRL Betting Tips: Round 19, 2024
After crunching the numbers and conducting thousands of simulations of this week's NRL matches, our leading computer model has determined the best rugby league bets for Round 19, 2024.
After simulating all of the NRL Round 19 action, our model has found the best bet to make right now, which comes in the Sharks vs Tigers matchup. Scroll down to see the bet, ensuring you can get in on the action before any change to the line or the odds.
Sharks H2H vs Tigers ($1.44)
- Odds: $1.44 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.28
- Edge: 8.8%
- Probability: 78.2%
- Match: Sharks vs Tigers (Friday, 8:00PM AEST)
Our model has pinpointed the best NRL bet to make this week, focusing on the matchup between the Sharks and Tigers. We recommend placing a head-to-head bet on Sharks to win, currently offered at odds of $1.44 at TAB. We have found a significant edge of 8.8% for this particular wager, which makes it our NRL bet of the round.
NRL Best Bets for Round 19, 2024
- Sharks vs Tigers: Sharks to win ($1.44 at TAB, 8.8% edge)
MORE: Every NRL Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NRL Round 19 Games to Bet on This Week
- Rabbitohs vs Dolphins (Thursday, 7:50PM)
- Tigers vs Sharks (Friday, 8:00PM)
- Eels vs Titans (Saturday, 5:30PM)
- Dragons vs Broncos (Saturday, 7:35PM)
- Knights vs Sea Eagles (Sunday, 4:05PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to present what our model thinks are the correct odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we will say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is equivalent to fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be suggested at the time because the odds are longer than we think they should be.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we recommend a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Smarter NRL Betting Decisions
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NRL tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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