NRL Betting Tips and Odds for Round 6, 2024
Apr 11, 2024, 2:31AM
The best NRL betting tips for Round 6 of the 2024 NRL season have been released.
Led by its expert team of data analysts, Stats Insider has conducted 10,000 simulations of each NRL Round 6 game to produce accurate probabilities, which we then compared to the odds to find the best NRL bets for punters all over the nation.
The odds below are brought to you by PointsBet, which offers more betting markets on the NRL than any other bookmaker in the world.
All of our suggested bets for Round 6 of the NRL season come straight from the popular NRL Value Bets page on Stats Insider.
NRL Betting Tips: Round 6, 2024
After crunching the numbers and conducting thousands of simulations of this week's NRL games, our famous computer model has found the best rugby league bets for you in Round 6, 2024.
After simulating all of the NRL Round 6 action, our model has found the best bet to make right now, which comes in the Storm vs Bulldogs matchup. Scroll down to see the bet, ensuring you can get in on the action before any change to the line or the odds.
Bulldogs H2H vs Storm ($7.00)
- Odds: $7.00 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $5.21
- Edge: 4.9%
- Probability: 19.2%
- Match: Storm vs Bulldogs (Friday, 6:00PM AEST)
Our model has pinpointed the best NRL bet to make this week, focusing on the matchup between the Storm and Bulldogs. We recommend placing a head-to-head bet on Bulldogs to win, currently offered at odds of $7.00 at TAB. We have found a significant edge of 4.9% for this particular wager, which makes it our NRL bet of the round.
MORE: NRL Value Bets Today
NRL Best Bets for Round 6, 2024
- Storm vs Bulldogs: Bulldogs to win ($7.00 at TAB, 4.9% edge)
MORE: Every NRL Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NRL Round 6 Games to Bet on This Week
- Roosters vs Knights (Thursday, 7:50PM)
- Bulldogs vs Storm (Friday, 6:00PM)
- Dolphins vs Broncos (Friday, 8:00PM)
- Sea Eagles vs Warriors (Saturday, 3:00PM)
- Cowboys vs Eels (Saturday, 5:30PM)
- Sharks vs Rabbitohs (Saturday, 7:35PM)
- Dragons vs Tigers (Sunday, 4:05PM)
- Titans vs Raiders (Sunday, 6:15PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to show what our model thinks are the correct odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we will say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is equivalent to fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be recommended at the time because the odds are longer than we think they should be.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we recommend a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Informed NRL Betting Decisions
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NRL tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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