NRL Betting Tips and Odds for Round 8, 2024
Last updated: Apr 25, 2024, 2:30AM | Published: Apr 25, 2024, 2:01AM
The best NRL betting tips for Round 8 of the 2024 NRL season have been released.
Led by Stats Insider's expert team of data analysts, we have used our independent computer model to simulate every NRL Round 8 game 10,000 times and find the best NRL bets for punters across the nation.
The odds below have been sourced from PointsBet, which offers more betting markets on the NRL than any other bookmaker in the world.
All of our suggested bets for Round 8 of the NRL season come straight from the renowned NRL Value Bets page on Stats Insider.
NRL Betting Tips: Round 8, 2024
After diving deep into the numbers and conducting thousands of simulations of this week's NRL matches, our famous computer model has determined the best rugby league bets for Round 8, 2024.
After simulating all of the NRL Round 8 action, our model has found the best bet to make right now, which comes in the Dolphins vs Knights matchup. Scroll down to see the bet, ensuring you can get in on the action before any change to the line or the odds.
Dolphins H2H vs Knights ($1.45)
- Odds: $1.45 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.36
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 73.5%
- Match: Dolphins vs Knights (Sunday, 2:00PM AEST)
Our model has pinpointed the best NRL bet to make this week, focusing on the matchup between the Dolphins and Knights. We recommend placing a head-to-head bet on Dolphins to win, currently offered at odds of $1.45 at TAB. We have detected a significant edge of 4.5% for this particular wager, which makes it our NRL bet of the round.
MORE: NRL Value Bets Today
NRL Best Bets for Round 8, 2024
- Dolphins vs Knights: Dolphins to win ($1.45 at TAB, 4.5% edge)
MORE: Every NRL Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NRL Round 8 Games to Bet on This Week
- Titans vs Warriors (Thursday, 2:00PM)
- Roosters vs Dragons (Thursday, 4:05PM)
- Rabbitohs vs Storm (Thursday, 7:50PM)
- Eels vs Sea Eagles (Friday, 8:00PM)
- Broncos vs Tigers (Saturday, 5:30PM)
- Panthers vs Cowboys (Saturday, 7:35PM)
- Knights vs Dolphins (Sunday, 2:00PM)
- Sharks vs Raiders (Sunday, 4:05PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to show what our model thinks are the correct odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we will say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is the same as fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be suggested at the time because the odds are longer than we think they should be.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we recommend a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Smarter NRL Betting Decisions
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NRL tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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