NRL Betting Tips and Odds for Round 9, 2024
Last updated: May 2, 2024, 2:32AM | Published: May 2, 2024, 2:02AM
The best NRL betting tips for Round 9 of the 2024 NRL season have been unveiled.
Led by its expert team of data analysts, Stats Insider has run 10,000 simulations of each NRL Round 9 match to generate reliable probabilities. These probabilities are then compared to the odds to find the best NRL bets for punters across the nation.
The odds below were found at PointsBet, which offers more betting markets on the NRL than any other bookmaker in the world.
Each one of the recommended bets for Round 9 of the NRL season come directly from the popular NRL Value Bets page on Stats Insider.
NRL Betting Tips: Round 9, 2024
After crunching the numbers and running thousands of simulations of this week's NRL games, our leading computer model has found the best rugby league bets for you in Round 9, 2024.
After simulating all of the NRL Round 9 action, our model has found the best bet to make right now, which comes in the Sea Eagles vs Raiders matchup. Scroll down to see the bet, ensuring you can get in on the action before any change to the line or the odds.
Sea Eagles vs Raiders Over 42.5 Points ($2.00)
- Odds: $2.00 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.72
- Edge: 8.0%
- Probability: 58%
- Match: Sea Eagles vs Raiders (Friday, 6:00PM AEST)
Our model has pinpointed the best NRL bet to make this week, focusing on the match between the Sea Eagles and Raiders. We recommend placing an over/under bet on Over 42.5 Points, currently offered at odds of $2.00 at TAB. We have detected a significant edge of 8.0% for this particular wager, which makes it our NRL bet of the round.
MORE: NRL Value Bets Today
NRL Best Bets for Round 9, 2024
- Sea Eagles vs Raiders: Over 42.5 Points ($2.00 at TAB, 8.0% edge)
MORE: Every NRL Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NRL Round 9 Games to Bet on This Week
- Panthers vs Rabbitohs (Thursday, 7:50PM)
- Raiders vs Sea Eagles (Friday, 6:00PM)
- Roosters vs Broncos (Friday, 8:00PM)
- Tigers vs Bulldogs (Saturday, 3:00PM)
- Storm vs Titans (Saturday, 5:30PM)
- Dolphins vs Cowboys (Saturday, 7:35PM)
- Warriors vs Knights (Sunday, 2:00PM)
- Dragons vs Sharks (Sunday, 4:05PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to present what our model thinks are the right odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we'll say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is the same as fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be recommended at the time because we think the odds should be shorter.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we recommend a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Informed NRL Betting Decisions
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NRL tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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