NRL Try Scorer Predictions for Round 21, 2022
Aug 5, 2022, 3:02AM
Who are the most likely NRL try scorers in Round 21, 2022?
After simulating this weekend's NRL games 10,000 times each, Stats Insider can reveal the NRL players most likely to score a try this weekend.
Thanks to our model's predictions for every NRL game this weekend, take a look at our top NRL try scorer tips for Round 21 below.
MORE: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 21, 2022
Round 21 NRL Try Scorer Tips
Alex Johnston Anytime Try at $1.45
With 22 tries in 18 games, Alex Johnston looks set to be the NRL's leading try scorer for a third straight season in 2022.
Now, as Johnston's Rabbitohs take on the Warriors this weekend, our model is projecting him as a 75.2% chance of adding to that tally.
This probability makes the fair odds $1.33, with the best of the bookies coming from TAB at $1.45.
Interestingly, if you want to take AJ to score 2+ or 3+ tries on Saturday afternoon, Neds is offering the best odds of $2.95 and $7.25 respectively.
Rabbitohs vs Warriors is at Sunshine Coast Stadium on Saturday, August 6 at 3:00pm AEST.
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David Nofoaluma Anytime Try at $1.60
After moving on loan from the Tigers this week, David Nofoaluma finds himself in a great position to score on his Storm debut.
With the Storm missing Ryan Papenhuyzen, Jahrome Hughes and Xaiver Coates (named as a reserve), all eyes will be on Nofoaluma as Melbourne's best wide threat.
Our fair odds for Nofoaluma to add to his eight tries this season are $1.68, with the best available odds coming from Pointsbet at $1.60.
Storm vs Titans is at AAMI Park on Friday, August 5 at 6:00pm AEST.
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Ronaldo Mulitalo Anytime Try at $1.78
After a couple of weeks without scoring, Ronaldo Mulitalo got back on the board in the Sharks' win over Souths last week, taking his 2022 total to 13 tries.
With the Sharks listed as 9.5-point favourites against the Dragons this week, we expect Mulitalo to get plenty of opportunities to score.
At a 55.3% probability, the fair odds for Mulitalo to cross the line are $1.81, with the best odds of $1.78 coming from Ladbrokes.
Sharks vs Dragons is at PointsBet Stadium on Saturday, August 6 at 7:35pm AEST.
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NRL Try Scorers Multi for Round 21
Looking to place a multi on the NRL this weekend? The three players we suggest taking as anytime try scorers in Round 21, 2022 are as follows:
- Alex Johnston anytime try ($1.40)
- David Nofoaluma anytime try ($1.57)
- Ronaldo Mulitalo anytime try ($1.78)
- Multi odds = $3.91
Multi odds via Ladbrokes. All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Round 21 NRL Anytime Try Scorers
Looking for more NRL anytime try scorer bets to make this weekend? Here are the top 10 most likely players to score an anytime try in Round 21, according to our data-driven model.
| Player | Probability | Fair Odds | Best Odds | Bookie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Johnston (SOU) | 75.2% | $1.33 | $1.45 | TAB |
| David Nofoaluma (MEL) | 59.6% | $1.68 | $1.60 | Pointsbet |
| Ronaldo Mulitalo (CRO) | 55.3% | $1.81 | $1.78 | Ladbrokes |
| Ken Maumalo (WST) | 53.8% | $1.86 | $1.85 | Pointsbet |
| Connor Tracey (CRO) | 49.5% | $2.02 | $2.00 | Neds |
| Maika Sivo (PAR) | 48.6% | $2.06 | $1.90 | TAB |
| Brent Naden (WST) | 48.1% | $2.08 | $1.90 | TAB |
| Murray Taulagi (NQL) | 47.8% | $2.09 | $1.79 | TopSport |
| Jason Saab (MAN) | 47.3% | $2.11 | $2.00 | TAB |
| Jaxson Paulo (SOU) | 45.5% | $2.20 | $1.90 | TopSport |
For every game, Stats Insider provides data-led probabilities for NRL first and anytime try scorers.
(Photo by Mark Kolbe/Getty Images)
