NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 1, 2024

Looking for a guide on your NRL tips for Round 1? We have NRL Round 1 tips 2024 for every match this weekend.

Gain an edge in your NRL tipping leagues thanks to our data-driven NRL expert tips for Round 1 of the 2024 NRL season, which come from simulating each NRL match-up thousands of times.

NRL Round 1 Tips and Predictions 2024

NRL fans have eight games to enjoy this week, starting with the Sea Eagles vs Rabbitohs on Sunday and concluding with the Titans vs Dragons on Saturday.

The below NRL footy tips and predictions are powered by independent data and analytics, making our NRL tips Round 1 2024 a go-to resource for NRL fans across the country.

Related: Predictions for Every NRL Game

NRL Tips Round 1 2024: Our Predictions

Detailed below are our predictions for each NRL game in Round 1, based on 10,000 simulations per match.

Sea Eagles vs Rabbitohs

Round 1 action kicks off with the Sea Eagles taking on the Rabbitohs at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday. Our NRL model projects South Sydney as having a 60% chance of winning, while the Sea Eagles have a 40% win probability.

Sea Eagles vs Rabbitohs is at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, March 3 at 1:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT).

Roosters vs Broncos

In this week's game between the Roosters and the Broncos, Brisbane is the more likely winner, with our predictive model projecting a 62% chance for the Broncos. The Roosters, on the other hand, have a 38% chance of pulling off an upset win.

Roosters vs Broncos is at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, March 3 at 3:30pm.

More: NRL Premiership 2024 Tips

Warriors vs Sharks

We are tipping the Warriors to win their game against the Sharks this week, with our powerful NRL model projecting a 63% win probability for New Zealand. The Sharks have a 37% chance of winning.

Warriors vs Sharks is at Mount Smart Stadium on Friday, March 8 at 6:00pm AEDT.

Storm vs Panthers

With a win probability of 68%, our tip for this match is the Panthers, while their opponents, the Storm, have a projected win chance of 32%.

Looking at the head-to-head betting odds, PointsBet currently has the Storm at $2.40, with the Panthers available at $1.58.

Storm vs Panthers is at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium on Friday, March 8 at 8:05pm AEDT.

More: NRL Try Location Analysis

Eels vs Bulldogs

The Eels have a 77% chance of winning this week, compared to Canterbury's 23% chance of victory. This makes the Eels the team to tip at Bankwest Stadium.

Eels vs Bulldogs is at Bankwest Stadium on Saturday, March 9 at 5:30pm AEDT.

Dolphins vs Cowboys

The Cowboys are favourites to win their Round 1 match, with our model giving them a 71% chance, while the Dolphins enter the weekend with a 29% chance of causing an upset at Suncorp Stadium.

Dolphins vs Cowboys is at Suncorp Stadium on Sunday, March 10 at 4:05pm AEDT.

Knights vs Raiders

According to our predictive analytics model, the Knights are the team to beat in this game, with Newcastle's win probability at 71%. The Raiders, on the other hand, have a 29% chance of winning.

If you want to bet on the match, PointsBet has the Knights at $1.42 and the Raiders at $2.90.

Knights vs Raiders is at McDonald Jones Stadium on Thursday, March 7 at 8:00pm AEDT.

More: NRL Strength of Schedule

Titans vs Dragons

We are tipping the Titans in this game, with Gold Coast given a 63% chance of winning, while the Dragons have a 37% win probability.

Titans vs Dragons is at Cbus Super Stadium on Saturday, March 9 at 7:35pm AEDT.

NRL Round 1 Tips 2024: Who to Tip

  • Rabbitohs
  • Broncos
  • Warriors
  • Panthers
  • Eels
  • Cowboys
  • Knights
  • Titans

NRL Tipping: Round 1 Games

  • Manly Sea Eagles vs South Sydney Rabbitohs
  • Sydney Roosters vs Brisbane Broncos
  • New Zealand Warriors vs Cronulla Sharks
  • Melbourne Storm vs Penrith Panthers
  • Parramatta Eels vs Canterbury Bulldogs
  • Dolphins vs North Queensland Cowboys
  • Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders
  • Gold Coast Titans vs St George Illawarra Dragons

NRL Round 1 Bye Schedule: Who Has a Bye This Week

  • Wests Tigers

The NRL Round 1 2024 tips and predictions in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

NRL Expert Tips Round 1 2024

Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert NRL tips. Our NRL tips for this weekend are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our NRL Round 1 predictions are accurate and reliable, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to NRL tipping.

If you choose to use our tips for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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More on the NRL

As well as being your best resource for NRL footy tips, Stats Insider is your home for NRL betting information, with the latest NRL betting news, tips for every NRL game, weekly NRL best bets, and NRL 2024 premiership probabilities.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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