NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 16, 2022

Last updated: Jul 5, 2022, 10:04AM | Published: Jun 30, 2022, 5:40AM

After a week off for Origin, it's time to get into this weekend's NRL tips.

Here a week late? We also have NRL expert tips for Round 17.

Using our powerful sports analytics model, Stats Insider simulated all eight NRL Round 16 games 10,000 times to determine the best NRL tips for this weekend.

If you're looking for an edge in your NRL tips for Round 16 of the 2022 season, our data-driven simulations are here to provide just that.

RELATED: Tips for Every NRL Game

NRL Tips for Round 16

Sea Eagles vs Storm

The travelling Storm are favoured to win with a 61% probability this week, while the Sea Eagles have a 39% chance of winning the round's opening game.

Sea Eagles vs Storm is at 4 Pines Park on Thursday, June 30 at 7:50pm AEST.

Knights vs Titans

In what is looking the tightest game to project in Round 16, the Knights have a 54% win probability against the Titans with a 46% chance of getting the win.

Knights vs Titans is at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday, July 1 at 6:00pm AEST.

Panthers vs Roosters

The Panthers are the most likely team to win this week, with their probability at 80%, whilst the Roosters have just a 20% chance of producing an upset.

Panthers vs Roosters is at BlueBet Stadium on Friday, July 1 at 7:55pm AEST.

Bulldogs vs Sharks

In Saturday's first game, our model is projecting the Sharks as a 67% chance of winning, while the Bulldogs have a 33% likelihood of winning at home.

Bulldogs vs Sharks is at CommBank Stadium on Saturday, July 2 at 3:00pm AEST.

Cowboys vs Broncos

Saturday evening footy heads to North Queensland this week, with the Cowboys projected to have a 62% win probability, against the 38% chance of a Broncos win.

Cowboys vs Broncos is at Queensland Country Bank on Saturday, July 2 at 5:30pm AEST.

Rabbitohs vs Eels

In Saturday's tightest projected game, the Rabbitohs have a win probability of 43%, while the Eels head to Sydney with a 57% chance of winning.

Rabbitohs vs Eels is at Accor Stadium on Saturday, July 2 at 7:35pm AEST.

Warriors vs Tigers

In an important game for the wooden spoon race, the Warriors look the more likely to get a win at 62%, with the Tigers' win probability at 38%.

Warriors vs Tigers is at GIO Stadium on Sunday, July 3 at 2:00pm AEST.

Dragons vs Raiders

The Raiders have a 55% win probability, whilst the Dragons are a 45% chance of winning Round 16's final matchup.

Dragons vs Raiders is at WIN Stadium on Sunday, July 3 at 4:05pm AEST.

Stats Insider's Expert Tips for NRL Round 16

Storm
Knights
Panthers
Sharks
Cowboys
Eels
Warriors
Raiders

All NRL tips for this weekend and probabilities in this article are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.