NRL Top Try Scorer Tips for Round 17, 2022

Jul 8, 2022, 6:39AM

It's Round 17 of the 2022 NRL season, and Stats Insider has used powerful predictive analytics to identify the five players most likely to score a try this weekend.

As Australia's leader in sports analytics, we have simulated this weekend's NRL games 10,000 times each to determine the most likely results, including NRL try scorers.

Thanks to our model's predictions for every NRL Round 17 game, you can find the top NRL try scorer tips for Round 17 below.

For reference, our Round 16 NRL try scorer tips went 4/5 last week, with the $6.54 multi hitting.

RELATED: NRL Try Scorer Stats

Round 17 NRL Try Scorer Tips

Alex Johnston Anytime Try at $1.76

A common feature in these weekly articles, Alex Johnston has now scored 16 tries in 15 games after a double for the Rabbitohs against the Eels last week.

Johnston enters this weekend as the most likely NRL player to score a try, with a 59.1% probability of crossing the line.

Our fair odds for an anytime try from Johnston this week are $1.69, with TopSport offering the best of the bookies at $1.76.

Knights vs Rabbitohs is at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday, July 8 at 7:55pm AEST.

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Maika Sivo Anytime Try at $1.88

With 54 tries in 70 NRL appearances, it's generally smarter to bet on the Eels' Maika Sivo to score a try than to not.

Sivo comes up against the third-worst defence in the NRL this weekend, with the Tigers conceding an average of 25.73 points per game in 2022.

Our fair odds for Sivo to score a try this week are $1.91, with the $1.88 on offer at Neds the best available for punters.

Tigers vs Eels is at Leichhardt Oval on Saturday, July 9 at 7:35pm AEST.

Mikaele Ravalawa Anytime Try at $2.20

A proven try scorer across his career, Mikaele Ravalawa has crossed the line 42 times in 64 games in the NRL.

Although Ravalawa has scored just five tries in 13 games in 2022, he does play down the right side, which has been the Dragons' most fruitful point of attack this season.

Our fair odds for Ravalawa to get on the end of one this week are $2.10, with PointsBet providing the best betting odds at $2.20.

Broncos vs Dragons is at Suncorp Stadium on Sunday, July 10 at 4:05pm AEST.

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Edrick Lee Anytime Try at $2.25

Newcastle winger Edrick Lee is in some hot form having scored five tries against the Titans last week.

That five-try effort from Lee also made it four games in a row that he's scored at least once, making it very hard to ignore him in multis this week.

Our fair odds for Lee to make it five straight games with a try are $2.17, with Neds' $2.25 the best in market.

Knights vs Rabbitohs is at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday, July 8 at 7:55pm AEST.

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Corey Oates Anytime Try at $1.96

With Selwyn Cobbo out due to Origin Game 3, Corey Oates looks to be the main scoring threat for the Broncos this week.

Oates has been in good form himself, with two doubles in his last two games, taking his season total to 14 tries in 15 games.

Our model's fair odds for an Oates try this week are $2.19, while the best odds available for betting come from Neds at $1.96.

Broncos vs Dragons is at Suncorp Stadium on Sunday, July 10 at 4:05pm AEST.

NRL Try Scorers Multi for Round 17

Looking to place a multi on the NRL this weekend? The three players we suggest taking as try scorers in Round 17, 2022 are as follows:

Alex Johnston anytime try ($1.75)
Maika Sivo anytime try ($1.88)
Corey Oates anytime try ($1.96)
Multi odds = $6.41

Multi odds via Neds. All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

For every game, Stats Insider provides data-led probabilities for NRL first and anytime try scorers.

(Photo by Ian Hitchcock/Getty Images)

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.