Top Try Scorer Tips for State of Origin 2, 2022
Last updated: Jul 12, 2022, 4:38AM | Published: Jun 23, 2022, 6:26AM
After simulating this Sunday's State of Origin game 10,000 times, Stats Insider has identified the 10 players most likely to score a try.
Looking for the decider? We also have State of Origin Game 3 Try Scorer Tips.
It's Game 2 of the 2022 State of Origin and we're here to help with predictions for Blues vs Maroons.
At Stats Insider, we run thousands of simulations to determine the most likely outcomes of each NRL and Origin game, including State of Origin try scorers.
Thanks to our model's predictions for NSW Blues vs QLD Maroons, check out the top State of Origin try scorer tips for Game 2 below.
RELATED: NRL Try Scorer Locations
State of Origin 2 Try Scorer Tips
Brian To'o Anytime Try at $2.25
Having scored five tries in his last three NRL games, Brian To'o is clearly in some great scoring form.
To'o also has nice history in Origin, having scored twice for NSW in the 2021 series.
Although not quite on par with our fair odds of $2.59, TAB has the best odds on offer for To'o to score at $2.25.
RELATED: Betting tips for NSW vs QLD
Daniel Tupuo Anytime Try at $2.12
State of Origin 1 was Daniel Tupuo's first appearance for NSW since 2020 and despite not scoring a try, he was still impressive with 211 running metres.
Our fair odds for Tupuo to get back to his Origin scoring best (two tries in 2020) are $2.64, with Sportsbet offering the best odds at $2.12.
RELATED: NRL Try Location Analysis
Selwyn Cobbo Anytime Try at $2.50
Broncos fullback Selwyn Cobbo is one of the most in-form scorers in the NRL right now, with 11 tries in seven games.
Our model has him as the most likely guy to score for the Maroons in Game 2, with his fair odds at $2.66. If you're looking for the best available from the bookies, Neds has Cobbo at $2.50 to score anytime.
RELATED: NRL 2022 Premiership Odds
Murray Taulagi Anytime Try at $2.55
Murray Taulagi is in for his Origin debut and has been placed straight into the starters.
The Cowboys winger has scored nine tries in the NRL in 2022, including seven in his last 10 games.
With the Maroons looking to wrap up the series, our model's fair for a Taulagi try are $2.90, whilst Ladbrokes has the best available odds at $2.55.
QLD vs NSW is at Optus Stadium in Perth on Sunday, June 26 at 7:50pm AEST.
Top 10 Likely Try Scorers for Origin 2
| Player | Team | Anytime Try Probability |
| Brian To'o | NSW | 38.7% |
| Daniel Tupou | NSW | 37.7% |
| Selwyn Cobbo | QLD | 37.4% |
| James Tedesco | NSW | 36.4% |
| Murray Taulagi | QLD | 34.5% |
| Stephen Crichton | NSW | 30.4% |
| Matt Burton | NSW | 29.3% |
| Kalyn Ponga | QLD | 28.1% |
| Valentine Holmes | QLD | 25.3% |
| Dane Gagai | QLD | 22.6% |
State of Origin 2 Same Game Multi
Looking to place a multi on Origin 2 try scorers this Sunday? The two guys we suggest taking together are as follows:
- Brian To'o (NSW) anytime try ($2.20)
- Selwyn Cobbo (QLD) anytime try ($2.50)
- Same Game Multi odds = $5.43
Multi odds via Neds. All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Stats Insider also provides data-led probabilities for NRL first and anytime try scorers for every NRL game.
(Photo by Cameron Spencer/Getty Images)
