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Nuggets vs Heat Prediction and NBA Tips - 1 March 2024

The Denver Nuggets will face the Miami Heat in NBA action at Ball Arena on Friday, beginning at 2:00pm AEDT.

With the likes of Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Michael Porter, the Nuggets are up against a Heat line-up that includes Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier and Jimmy Butler.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Nuggets vs Heat game, plus the latest betting odds and player props, are featured in this article.

Who Will Win: Nuggets vs Heat

Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Denver-Miami NBA game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Nuggets a 68% chance of winning against the Heat at Ball Arena.

More: Nuggets vs Heat Match Centre

Nuggets vs Heat: Odds

The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Friday's NBA game at Ball Arena are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Nuggets $1.41, Heat $3.35
  • Line: Nuggets -6 ($1.88), Heat +6 ($2.08)
  • Total (Over/Under 214.5 Points): Over $1.95, Under $2.00

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Nuggets at $1.41 and the Heat at $3.35.

The Nuggets are listed as 6-point favourites against the Heat, with odds of $1.88 currently available at Betfair.

For the underdog Heat (+6) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.08.

The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 214.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95 and odds for the Under at $2.00.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Heat (+6) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 214.5 points has a 53% chance of going Over.

The best site to place a bet on the Nuggets vs Heat game is Betfair, where you can wager against other sports fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.

More: Best Bets Today for All Sports

Nuggets vs Heat: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Miami at $3.35 with Betfair (2.3% edge)
  • Line: Heat +6 at $2.08 with Betfair (54% probability) 🔥
  • Total Points: Over 214.5 at $1.95 with Betfair (53% probability)


If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.

These Nuggets vs Heat betting tips are based on detailed modelling and betting expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Nuggets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Heat to win is our recommended option because of the 2.3% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a bettor.

What could be better than using one of the world's best predictive analytics models to bet on the NBA? Now, you can use this helpful information to give you an edge when betting on something not to happen.

Join Betfair today to get even more out of Stats Insider's data.

Before you get started, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.

Nuggets vs Heat: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Nuggets vs Heat at Ball Arena on Friday has the Nuggets winning 110-105.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Denver vs Miami on Friday, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live scores.

Nuggets vs Heat: Player Props

Betting on Miami vs Denver player props? Stats Insider has crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.

Nikola Jokic is expected to step up for the Nuggets with 23 points, 13 rebounds and 9 assists, while Bam Adebayo is projected to have 23 points, 10 rebounds and 6 assists for the Heat.

Nuggets Projected Box Score

Player Points Rebounds Assists
Nikola Jokic 23 13 9
Jamal Murray 22 4 8
Michael Porter 16 7 2
Aaron Gordon 14 6 4
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 10 3 3

Heat Projected Box Score

Player Points Rebounds Assists
Bam Adebayo 23 10 6
Terry Rozier 19 4 6
Jimmy Butler 18 5 5
Duncan Robinson 13 2 3
Jaime Jaquez 10 3 2

Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Denver vs Miami game at Ball Arena.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NBA game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Nuggets vs Heat: Preview

The NBA game between the Nuggets and Heat at Ball Arena is scheduled to start at 2:00pm AEDT on Friday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

Our Denver vs Miami predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NBA

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NBA in Australia, with the latest NBA betting news, tips for every NBA game, and futures probabilities for the NBA.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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