Port Adelaide vs Brisbane Prediction and Odds - AFL Round 1, 2023
Last updated: Mar 16, 2023, 2:23AM | Published: Mar 16, 2023, 1:00AM
Port Adelaide plays Brisbane in AFL Round 1 action at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, starting at 4:35pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Port Adelaide vs Brisbane, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who will win? Port Adelaide vs Brisbane
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Port Adelaide-Brisbane AFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Power a 51% chance of winning against the Lions in Round 1 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: Free Betting Analysis for Power vs Lions
Port Adelaide vs Brisbane Betting Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed below:
- Head to Head: Port Adelaide $1.99, Brisbane $2.00
- Line: Port Adelaide -3.5 ($2.18), Brisbane +3.5 ($1.80)
- Total (Over/Under 173.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.83
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Port Adelaide to win at $1.99 and Brisbane to win at $2.00.
The Power are 3.5-point favourites against the Lions, with odds of $2.18 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Lions (+3.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.80.
The Over/Under for Power vs Lions is set at 173.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.00 and odds for the Under at $1.83.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Lions (+3.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the 173.5-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets for Every AFL Game
Port Adelaide vs Brisbane Best Bets
- Head to Head: Power at $1.99 with Betfair (51% probability)
- Line: P Adelaide -3.5 at $2.18 with Betfair (1.4% edge)
- Total Points: Under 173.5 at $1.83 with Betfair (55% probability)
Today's Power vs Lions predictions are based on market-leading modelling and gambling expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although the Lions are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Power -3.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Port Adelaide vs Brisbane Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Power vs Lions at Adelaide Oval on Saturday has the Power winning 86-84.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Port Adelaide vs Brisbane on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Power vs Lions Goal Scorers
Looking for Power vs Lions goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, P Adelaide's Charlie Dixon is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Port Adelaide vs Brisbane.
Dixon has a 6.8% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Power star has an 86.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Port Adelaide
- Charlie Dixon: 6.8% probability
- Todd Marshall: 5.9% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 5.1% probability
- Mitch Georgiades: 4.2% probability
- Sam Powell-Pepper: 4.1% probability
Brisbane
- Joe Daniher: 6.6% probability
- Jack Gunston: 6.0% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 5.3% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 5.2% probability
- Lincoln McCarthy: 3.9% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Port Adelaide
- Charlie Dixon: 86.8% probability
- Todd Marshall: 81.5% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 78.7% probability
- Mitch Georgiades: 75.0% probability
- Sam Powell-Pepper: 68.8% probability
Brisbane
- Jack Gunston: 84.9% probability
- Joe Daniher: 84.7% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 80.2% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 77.5% probability
- Zac Bailey: 66.6% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Port Adelaide vs Brisbane game at Adelaide Oval.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2023
Port Adelaide vs Brisbane AFL 2023
The AFL Round 1 clash between the Power and Lions at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to begin at 4:35pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Game: Port Adelaide vs Brisbane
- Date: Saturday 18 March 2023
- Time: 4:35pm AEDT
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
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