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Packers vs Dolphins Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 13, 2024

The Green Bay Packers will face the Miami Dolphins in NFL Week 13 action at Lambeau Field on Friday, starting at 12:20pm AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Packers vs Dolphins game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Green Bay vs Miami NFL game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Packers a 61% chance of beating the Dolphins at Lambeau Field.

Packers vs Dolphins: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Friday's NFL game at Lambeau Field are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Packers $1.54, Dolphins $2.55
  • Line: Packers -3.5 ($1.91), Dolphins +3.5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 47.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Packers at $1.54 and the Dolphins at $2.55.

The Packers are listed as 3.5-point favourites against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Dolphins (+3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 47.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Dolphins (+3.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 47.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.

Packers vs Dolphins: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Miami at $2.55 with Bet365
  • Line: Dolphins +3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 47.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

 
If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best tips for today across all sports.

Today's Packers vs Dolphins best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Packers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dolphins to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a punter.

Packers vs Dolphins: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Packers vs Dolphins at Lambeau Field in Week 13 is the Packers winning 25-22.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Green Bay vs Miami game in Week 13, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Packers vs Dolphins: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Packers vs Dolphins? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Green Bay's Josh Jacobs is the most likely player to score the first TD in Packers vs Dolphins.

Jacobs has a 13.0% chance of scoring the first TD at Lambeau Field, while the Packers RB has a 54.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Packers First TD Tips

  • Josh Jacobs: 13.0% probability
  • Jayden Reed: 8.2% probability
  • Christian Watson: 6.2% probability
  • Tucker Kraft: 5.8% probability
  • Jordan Love: 4.9% probability

Dolphins First TD Tips

  • De'Von Achane: 11.5% probability
  • Jonnu Smith: 7.4% probability
  • Tyreek Hill: 7.1% probability
  • Jaylen Waddle: 5.5% probability
  • Odell Beckham: 3.1% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Packers Anytime TD Tips

  • Josh Jacobs: 54.0% probability
  • Jayden Reed: 36.4% probability
  • Christian Watson: 28.9% probability
  • Tucker Kraft: 27.9% probability
  • Jordan Love: 23.5% probability

Dolphins Anytime TD Tips

  • De'Von Achane: 48.6% probability
  • Jonnu Smith: 34.1% probability
  • Tyreek Hill: 33.1% probability
  • Jaylen Waddle: 26.5% probability
  • Odell Beckham: 15.7% probability

Packers-Dolphins Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Packers' Jordan Love is projected for 257 passing yards, while the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is expected to throw for 233 yards.

Packers Starting QB

  • Jordan Love: 257 projected passing yards

Dolphins Starting QB

  • Tua Tagovailoa: 233 projected passing yards

Packers Rushing Yards

  • Josh Jacobs: 71 projected yards
  • Emanuel Wilson: 15 projected yards
  • Jordan Love: 13 projected yards

Dolphins Rushing Yards

  • De'Von Achane: 66 projected yards
  • Jaylen Wright: 20 projected yards
  • Raheem Mostert: 9 projected yards

Packers Receiving Yards

  • Jayden Reed: 52 projected yards
  • Tucker Kraft: 40 projected yards
  • Christian Watson: 38 projected yards
  • Dontayvion Wicks: 32 projected yards
  • Josh Jacobs: 21 projected yards

Dolphins Receiving Yards

  • Tyreek Hill: 62 projected yards
  • Jaylen Waddle: 55 projected yards
  • Jonnu Smith: 52 projected yards
  • De'Von Achane: 30 projected yards
  • Odell Beckham: 20 projected yards

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Green Bay vs Miami match-up.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Packers vs Dolphins: Week 13 Essential Details

The NFL Week 13 game between the Packers and Dolphins at Lambeau Field is scheduled to commence at 12:20pm AEDT on Friday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Green Bay vs Miami predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, predictions for every NFL game, and Super Bowl odds for the NFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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