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Padres vs Astros Prediction and MLB Tips - 17 September 2024

The San Diego Padres will take on the Houston Astros in MLB action at PETCO Park on Tuesday, commencing at 11:40am AEST.

The Padres will send Yu Darvish (5-3, 3.52 ERA) to the mound, while the Astros will counter with Spencer Arrighetti (7-12, 4.72 ERA).

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Padres vs Astros game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Tuesday's San Diego vs Houston MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Padres a 52% chance of defeating the Astros at PETCO Park.

Padres vs Astros: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's MLB game at PETCO Park are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Padres $1.80, Astros $2.00
  • Line: Padres +1.5 ($1.47), Astros -1.5 ($2.65)
  • Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Padres at $1.80 and the Astros at $2.00.

The Padres are 1.5-run underdogs against the Astros, with odds of $1.47 available at TAB.

For the favourite Astros (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.65.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Padres (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 65% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to go over 55% of the time.

Padres vs Astros: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Houston at $2.00 with TAB
  • Line: Padres +1.5 at $1.47 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Over 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB

Today's Padres vs Astros betting tips are based on world-class modelling and wagering expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Padres have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Astros to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.

Padres vs Astros: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the San Diego vs Houston game on Tuesday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the San Diego vs Houston match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Padres vs Astros: Essential Details

The match-up between the Padres and Astros at PETCO Park is scheduled to start at 11:40am AEST on Tuesday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our San Diego vs Houston predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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