Panthers vs Broncos Prediction and Tips - NRL Grand Final 2023
Last updated: Oct 1, 2023, 8:30AM | Published: Sep 24, 2023, 12:14AM
The Panthers play the Broncos in NRL Grand Final action at Accor Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 7:30pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Panthers vs Broncos, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Panthers vs Broncos
Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Penrith-Brisbane NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Panthers a 57% chance of defeating the Broncos in this week's NRL Grand Final.
More: Panthers vs Broncos Simulated 10,000 Times
Panthers vs Broncos: Odds
The latest betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at Accor Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Panthers $1.57, Broncos $2.45
- Line: Panthers -3.5 ($1.80), Broncos +3.5 ($2.00)
- Total (Over/Under 38.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.80
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Panthers at $1.57 and the Broncos at $2.45.
The Panthers are 3.5-point favourites against the Broncos, with odds of $1.80 currently on offer at PointsBet.
For the underdog Broncos (+3.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $2.00.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 38.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.00 and odds for the Under at $1.80.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Broncos (+3.5) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the 38.5-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of going Over.
Looking for the best way to bet on this Panthers vs Broncos match? Join PointsBet now and check out the world's most exciting sports betting format, Spread Betting.
More: NRL Fixture Difficulty 2023
Panthers vs Broncos: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Broncos at $2.45 with PointsBet (1.8% edge)
- Line: Broncos +3.5 at $2.00 with PointsBet (52% probability)
- Total Points: Over 38.5 at $2.00 with PointsBet (55% probability) 🔥
If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets of the day across any sport.
Today's Panthers vs Broncos predictions are based on market-leading simulations and wagering intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.
We highly recommend betting on this Panthers vs Broncos match at PointsBet, where you can use our cutting-edge predictions to bet on the NRL and more. Create a PointsBet account now!
While the Panthers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Broncos to win is our preferred option due to the 1.8% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Panthers vs Broncos: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Panthers vs Broncos at Accor Stadium on Sunday has the Panthers winning 21-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Panthers vs Broncos on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, the best betting tips, and live scores.
Panthers vs Broncos: Try Scorers
Looking for Panthers vs Broncos try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Panthers' Brian To'o is the most likely player to score the first try in Penrith vs Brisbane.
To'o has a 9.8% chance of scoring the first try at Accor Stadium, while the Panthers star has a 47.8% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities. We recommend using these probabilities to find a suitable bet on PointsBet, where you can enjoy betting on every single game this week.
First Try Scorer Tips
Penrith Panthers
- Brian To'o: 9.8% probability
- Sunia Turuva: 6.8% probability
- Stephen Crichton: 6.7% probability
- Izack Tago: 6.4% probability
- Dylan Edwards: 4.8% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Selwyn Cobbo: 7.4% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 5.7% probability
- Jesse Arthars: 5.2% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 4.9% probability
- Ezra Mam: 4.5% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Penrith Panthers
- Brian To'o: 47.8% probability
- Sunia Turuva: 36.1% probability
- Stephen Crichton: 35.0% probability
- Izack Tago: 33.4% probability
- Dylan Edwards: 27.4% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Selwyn Cobbo: 38.6% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 32.0% probability
- Jesse Arthars: 29.4% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 27.1% probability
- Ezra Mam: 26.3% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Panthers vs Broncos game at Accor Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023
Panthers vs Broncos: Preview
The NRL Grand Final clash between the Panthers and Broncos at Accor Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:30pm AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos
- Date: Sunday 1 October 2023
- Kick-off: 7:30pm AEDT
- Location: Accor Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Panthers vs Broncos are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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