Patriots vs Bills Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 7, 2023
Last updated: Oct 21, 2023, 6:26AM | Published: Oct 17, 2023, 4:03AM
The New England Patriots square off with the favoured Buffalo Bills in NFL Week 7 action at Gillette Stadium on Monday, commencing at 4:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Patriots vs Bills, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Patriots vs Bills
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's New England-Buffalo NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Bills an 81% chance of defeating the Patriots at Gillette Stadium.
More: Patriots vs Bills Match Centre
Patriots vs Bills: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Gillette Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Patriots $4.20, Bills $1.24
- Line: Patriots +8 ($1.91), Bills -8 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 40 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Patriots at $4.20. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Bills at $1.24.
The Patriots are listed as 8-point underdogs against the Bills, with odds of $1.91 currently available at bet365.
For the favourite Bills (-8) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 40 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Bills (-8) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 40 points has a 52% chance of going Over.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Patriots vs Bills: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Buffalo at $1.24 with PointsBet (81% probability)
- Line: Bills -8 at $1.91 with bet365 (54% probability)
- Total Points: Over 40 at $1.91 with bet365 (52% probability)
Our Patriots vs Bills best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
Patriots vs Bills: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Bills at Gillette Stadium in Week 7 has the Bills prevailing 24-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of New England vs Buffalo in Week 7, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Patriots vs Bills: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs Bills? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Buffalo's Stefon Diggs is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs Bills.
Diggs has an 11.6% chance of getting in for six first at Gillette Stadium, while the Bills WR has a 42.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots First TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 7.1% probability
- Ezekiel Elliott: 6.4% probability
- Kendrick Bourne: 4.6% probability
- Hunter Henry: 4.4% probability
- DeVante Parker: 3.5% probability
Bills First TD Tips
- Stefon Diggs: 11.6% probability
- Josh Allen: 10.7% probability
- Gabe Davis: 9.2% probability
- James Cook: 8.9% probability
- Latavius Murray: 5.0% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 29.7% probability
- Ezekiel Elliott: 26.4% probability
- Hunter Henry: 20.4% probability
- Kendrick Bourne: 20.2% probability
- DeVante Parker: 15.0% probability
Bills Anytime TD Tips
- Stefon Diggs: 42.6% probability
- Josh Allen: 39.1% probability
- Gabe Davis: 34.8% probability
- James Cook: 34.0% probability
- Latavius Murray: 20.4% probability
Patriots-Bills Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Mac Jones is projected for 174 passing yards, while the Bills' Josh Allen is expected to throw for 229 yards.
Patriots Starting QB
- Mac Jones: 174 projected passing yards
Bills Starting QB
- Josh Allen: 229 projected passing yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 50 projected yards
- Ezekiel Elliott: 31 projected yards
- Mac Jones: 9 projected yards
Bills Rushing Yards
- James Cook: 53 projected yards
- Josh Allen: 27 projected yards
- Latavius Murray: 20 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- Kendrick Bourne: 47 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 30 projected yards
- DeVante Parker: 25 projected yards
- Demario Douglas: 25 projected yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 23 projected yards
Bills Receiving Yards
- Stefon Diggs: 82 projected yards
- Gabe Davis: 61 projected yards
- Dawson Knox: 27 projected yards
- Dalton Kincaid: 26 projected yards
- Deonte Harty: 21 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the New England vs Buffalo game at Gillette Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Patriots vs Bills: Week 7 Preview
The NFL Week 7 match-up between the Patriots and Bills at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills
- Date: Monday 23 October 2023
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for New England vs Buffalo are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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