Patriots vs Bills Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 7, 2023
Last updated: Oct 22, 2023, 5:01PM | Published: Oct 21, 2023, 6:32AM
The New England Patriots square off with the favoured Buffalo Bills in NFL Week 7 action at Gillette Stadium on Monday, beginning at 4:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Patriots vs Bills, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Patriots vs Bills
Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's New England-Buffalo NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Bills an 80% chance of winning against the Patriots in Week 7 of the NFL season.
More: Patriots vs Bills Match Centre
Patriots vs Bills: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Gillette Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Patriots $4.10, Bills $1.26
- Line: Patriots +7.5 ($1.91), Bills -7.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 41 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Patriots at $4.10. Meanwhile, bet365 currently has the Bills at $1.26.
The Patriots are listed as 7.5-point underdogs against the Bills, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at bet365.
For the favourite Bills (-7.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for Patriots vs Bills is set at 41 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bills (-7.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the 41-point Over/Under is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Patriots vs Bills: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Buffalo at $1.26 with bet365 (80% probability)
- Line: Bills -7.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (56% probability)
- Total Points: Under 41 at $1.91 with bet365 (50% probability)
These Patriots vs Bills best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting experience to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
Patriots vs Bills: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Bills at Gillette Stadium in Week 7 has the Bills winning 24-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of New England vs Buffalo in Week 7, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Patriots vs Bills: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs Bills? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Buffalo's Stefon Diggs is the most likely player to score the first TD in Patriots vs Bills.
Diggs has an 11.7% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Bills WR has a 43.3% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots First TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 8.5% probability
- Ezekiel Elliott: 6.9% probability
- Hunter Henry: 4.9% probability
- Kendrick Bourne: 4.8% probability
- Demario Douglas: 3.7% probability
Bills First TD Tips
- Stefon Diggs: 11.7% probability
- Josh Allen: 10.7% probability
- Gabe Davis: 9.1% probability
- James Cook: 8.5% probability
- Dawson Knox: 4.9% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 33.2% probability
- Ezekiel Elliott: 29.1% probability
- Kendrick Bourne: 22.3% probability
- Hunter Henry: 22.2% probability
- Demario Douglas: 16.6% probability
Bills Anytime TD Tips
- Stefon Diggs: 43.3% probability
- Josh Allen: 39.6% probability
- Gabe Davis: 35.2% probability
- James Cook: 34.5% probability
- Latavius Murray: 20.4% probability
Patriots-Bills Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Mac Jones is projected for 177 passing yards. The Bills' Josh Allen is expected to throw for 230 yards.
Patriots Starting QB
- Mac Jones: 177 projected passing yards
Bills Starting QB
- Josh Allen: 230 projected passing yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 51 projected yards
- Ezekiel Elliott: 31 projected yards
- Mac Jones: 9 projected yards
Bills Rushing Yards
- James Cook: 53 projected yards
- Josh Allen: 26 projected yards
- Latavius Murray: 20 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- Kendrick Bourne: 48 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 30 projected yards
- Demario Douglas: 30 projected yards
- DeVante Parker: 25 projected yards
- Mike Gesicki: 16 projected yards
Bills Receiving Yards
- Stefon Diggs: 82 projected yards
- Gabe Davis: 61 projected yards
- Dawson Knox: 27 projected yards
- Dalton Kincaid: 26 projected yards
- Deonte Harty: 21 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the New England vs Buffalo game at Gillette Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Patriots vs Bills: Week 7 Preview
The NFL Week 7 match-up between the Patriots and Bills at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills
- Date: Monday 23 October 2023
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for New England vs Buffalo have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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