Patriots vs Chargers Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 13, 2023
Last updated: Dec 3, 2023, 6:01PM | Published: Nov 28, 2023, 1:51AM
The New England Patriots play the favoured Los Angeles Chargers in NFL Week 13 action at Gillette Stadium on Monday, starting at 5:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Patriots vs Chargers, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Patriots vs Chargers
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's New England-LA Chargers NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Chargers a 71% chance of winning against the Patriots in Week 13 of the NFL season.
More: Patriots vs Chargers Simulated 10K Times
Patriots vs Chargers: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Gillette Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Patriots $2.85, Chargers $1.45
- Line: Patriots +4 ($1.91), Chargers -4 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 38.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Patriots at $2.85. Meanwhile, bet365 currently has the Chargers at $1.45.
The Patriots are 4-point underdogs against the Chargers, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at PointsBet.
For the favourite Chargers (-4) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 38.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Chargers (-4) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the 38.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of going Over.
More: Live Scores for All Sports
Patriots vs Chargers: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: LA Chargers at $1.45 with bet365 (71% probability)
- Line: Chargers -4 at $1.91 with PointsBet (54% probability)
- Total Points: Over 38.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (51% probability)
Stats Insider's Patriots vs Chargers best bets are based on market-leading modelling and gambling experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Patriots vs Chargers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Chargers at Gillette Stadium in Week 13 has the Chargers winning 22-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of New England vs LA Chargers in Week 13, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Patriots vs Chargers: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Patriots vs Chargers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Los Angeles' Austin Ekeler is the most likely player to score the first TD in Patriots vs Chargers.
Ekeler has a 16.4% chance of getting in for six first at Gillette Stadium, while the Chargers RB has a 53.4% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots First TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 10.1% probability
- Ezekiel Elliott: 6.6% probability
- DeVante Parker: 5.3% probability
- Bailey Zappe: 4.3% probability
- Hunter Henry: 3.8% probability
Chargers First TD Tips
- Austin Ekeler: 16.4% probability
- Keenan Allen: 10.5% probability
- Jalen Guyton: 5.4% probability
- Joshua Kelley: 5.1% probability
- Gerald Everett: 4.9% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 38.1% probability
- Ezekiel Elliott: 26.7% probability
- DeVante Parker: 22.4% probability
- Bailey Zappe: 18.9% probability
- Hunter Henry: 16.6% probability
Chargers Anytime TD Tips
- Austin Ekeler: 53.4% probability
- Keenan Allen: 38.3% probability
- Jalen Guyton: 21.2% probability
- Joshua Kelley: 20.5% probability
- Quentin Johnston: 19.9% probability
Patriots-Chargers Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Bailey Zappe is projected for 213 passing yards. The Chargers' Justin Herbert is expected to throw for 235 yards.
Patriots Starting QB
- Bailey Zappe: 213 projected passing yards
Chargers Starting QB
- Justin Herbert: 235 projected passing yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 54 projected yards
- Ezekiel Elliott: 29 projected yards
- Bailey Zappe: 14 projected yards
Chargers Rushing Yards
- Austin Ekeler: 54 projected yards
- Joshua Kelley: 21 projected yards
- Justin Herbert: 10 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- DeVante Parker: 42 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 25 projected yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 24 projected yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 23 projected yards
- Tyquan Thornton: 21 projected yards
Chargers Receiving Yards
- Keenan Allen: 79 projected yards
- Austin Ekeler: 40 projected yards
- Quentin Johnston: 38 projected yards
- Jalen Guyton: 38 projected yards
- Gerald Everett: 29 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the New England vs LA Chargers game at Gillette Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Patriots vs Chargers: Week 13 Preview
The NFL Week 13 game between the Patriots and Chargers at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers
- Date: Monday 4 December 2023
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for New England vs LA Chargers are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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