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Patriots vs Chargers Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 17, 2024

The New England Patriots will take on the favoured Los Angeles Chargers in NFL Week 17 action at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Patriots vs Chargers game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's New England vs LA Chargers NFL game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Chargers a 64% chance of beating the Patriots at Gillette Stadium.

Patriots vs Chargers: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NFL game at Gillette Stadium are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Patriots $2.80, Chargers $1.45
  • Line: Patriots +4 ($1.91), Chargers -4 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Patriots at $2.80 and the Chargers at $1.45.

The Patriots are 4-point underdogs against the Chargers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the favourite Chargers (-4) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Patriots and the Chargers have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 42.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Patriots vs Chargers: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: New England at $2.80 with Bet365
  • Line: Chargers -4 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 42.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

 
Our Patriots vs Chargers betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and gambling experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Chargers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Patriots to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.

Patriots vs Chargers: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Chargers at Gillette Stadium in Week 17 is the Chargers winning 22-19.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the New England vs LA Chargers game in Week 17, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Patriots vs Chargers: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs Chargers? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Los Angeles' Gus Edwards is the most likely player to score the first TD in Patriots vs Chargers.

Edwards has a 9.0% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Chargers RB has a 34.9% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Patriots First TD Tips

  • Rhamondre Stevenson: 7.0% probability
  • Hunter Henry: 5.5% probability
  • Kayshon Boutte: 5.3% probability
  • Kendrick Bourne: 4.9% probability
  • Antonio Gibson: 4.9% probability

Chargers First TD Tips

  • Gus Edwards: 9.0% probability
  • Ladd McConkey: 8.9% probability
  • Quentin Johnston: 7.0% probability
  • Will Dissly: 6.5% probability
  • Justin Herbert: 5.8% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Patriots Anytime TD Tips

  • Rhamondre Stevenson: 30.7% probability
  • Kayshon Boutte: 24.3% probability
  • Hunter Henry: 24.1% probability
  • Kendrick Bourne: 22.4% probability
  • Antonio Gibson: 22.0% probability

Chargers Anytime TD Tips

  • Ladd McConkey: 35.8% probability
  • Gus Edwards: 34.9% probability
  • Quentin Johnston: 28.7% probability
  • Will Dissly: 27.7% probability
  • Justin Herbert: 24.3% probability

Patriots-Chargers Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Drake Maye is projected for 199 passing yards. The Chargers' Justin Herbert is expected to throw for 225 yards.

Patriots Starting QB

  • Drake Maye: 199 projected passing yards

Chargers Starting QB

  • Justin Herbert: 225 projected passing yards

Patriots Rushing Yards

  • Rhamondre Stevenson: 48 projected yards
  • Antonio Gibson: 28 projected yards
  • Drake Maye: 26 projected yards

Chargers Rushing Yards

  • Gus Edwards: 38 projected yards
  • Kimani Vidal: 23 projected yards
  • Justin Herbert: 14 projected yards

Patriots Receiving Yards

  • Kendrick Bourne: 46 projected yards
  • DeMario Douglas: 45 projected yards
  • Kayshon Boutte: 42 projected yards
  • Hunter Henry: 42 projected yards
  • Austin Hooper: 28 projected yards

Chargers Receiving Yards

  • Ladd McConkey: 60 projected yards
  • Quentin Johnston: 37 projected yards
  • Will Dissly: 31 projected yards
  • Joshua Palmer: 30 projected yards
  • DJ Chark: 17 projected yards

Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the New England vs LA Chargers game.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Patriots vs Chargers: Week 17 Essential Details

The NFL Week 17 game between the Patriots and Chargers at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:00am AEDT on Sunday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our New England vs LA Chargers predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, predictions for every NFL game, and Super Bowl odds for the NFL.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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