Patriots vs Chargers Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 17, 2024
Last updated: Dec 28, 2024, 6:01PM | Published: Dec 24, 2024, 1:50AM
The New England Patriots will take on the favoured Los Angeles Chargers in NFL Week 17 action at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, starting at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Patriots vs Chargers game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's New England vs LA Chargers NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Chargers a 71% chance of winning against the Patriots in Week 17 of the NFL season.
Patriots vs Chargers: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NFL game at Gillette Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Patriots $3.40, Chargers $1.33
- Line: Patriots +6 ($1.91), Chargers -6 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Patriots at $3.40 and the Chargers at $1.33.
The Patriots are 6-point underdogs against the Chargers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Chargers (-6) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 41.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Patriots (+6) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 41.5-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Patriots vs Chargers: Best Bets
- Head to Head: New England at $3.40 with Bet365
- Line: Patriots +6 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 41.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
While the Chargers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Patriots to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Patriots vs Chargers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Chargers at Gillette Stadium in Week 17 is the Chargers winning 23-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the New England vs LA Chargers game in Week 17, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Patriots vs Chargers prediction.
Patriots vs Chargers: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs Chargers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Los Angeles' J.K. Dobbins is the most likely player to score the first TD in Patriots vs Chargers.
Dobbins has an 11.3% chance of getting in for six first at Gillette Stadium, while the Chargers RB has a 43.7% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots First TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 6.9% probability
- Kayshon Boutte: 5.5% probability
- Hunter Henry: 5.2% probability
- Antonio Gibson: 4.6% probability
- Drake Maye: 4.6% probability
Chargers First TD Tips
- J.K. Dobbins: 11.3% probability
- Ladd McConkey: 8.1% probability
- Quentin Johnston: 6.4% probability
- Will Dissly: 5.8% probability
- Justin Herbert: 5.4% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 30.2% probability
- Kayshon Boutte: 24.2% probability
- Hunter Henry: 22.9% probability
- Antonio Gibson: 21.7% probability
- Austin Hooper: 19.8% probability
Chargers Anytime TD Tips
- J.K. Dobbins: 43.7% probability
- Ladd McConkey: 33.4% probability
- Quentin Johnston: 26.5% probability
- Will Dissly: 25.1% probability
- Justin Herbert: 23.1% probability
Patriots-Chargers Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Drake Maye is projected for 196 passing yards, while the Chargers' Justin Herbert is expected to throw for 228 yards.
Patriots Starting QB
- Drake Maye: 196 projected passing yards
Chargers Starting QB
- Justin Herbert: 228 projected passing yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 48 projected yards
- Antonio Gibson: 28 projected yards
- Drake Maye: 26 projected yards
Chargers Rushing Yards
- J.K. Dobbins: 81 projected yards
- Kimani Vidal: 20 projected yards
- Justin Herbert: 14 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- Kayshon Boutte: 42 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 41 projected yards
- DeMario Douglas: 36 projected yards
- Kendrick Bourne: 29 projected yards
- Austin Hooper: 28 projected yards
Chargers Receiving Yards
- Ladd McConkey: 61 projected yards
- Quentin Johnston: 38 projected yards
- Will Dissly: 31 projected yards
- Joshua Palmer: 30 projected yards
- DJ Chark: 17 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the New England vs LA Chargers game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Patriots vs Chargers: Week 17 Essential Details
The NFL Week 17 match-up between the Patriots and Chargers at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers
- Date: Sunday 29 December 2024
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our New England vs LA Chargers predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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