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Patriots vs Chiefs Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 15, 2023

The New England Patriots will face the favoured Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 15 action at Gillette Stadium on Monday, starting at 5:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Patriots vs Chiefs game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who Will Win: Patriots vs Chiefs

Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's New England-Kansas City NFL game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Chiefs an 87% chance of beating the Patriots at Gillette Stadium.

More: Patriots vs Chiefs Match Centre

Patriots vs Chiefs: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Gillette Stadium are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Patriots $4.90, Chiefs $1.24
  • Line: Patriots +9.5 ($2.06), Chiefs -9.5 ($1.87)
  • Total (Over/Under 39.5 Points): Over $2.04, Under $1.93

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Patriots at $4.90. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Chiefs at $1.24.

The Patriots are 9.5-point underdogs against the Chiefs, with odds of $2.06 currently available at Betfair.

For the favourite Chiefs (-9.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.87.

The Over/Under for Patriots vs Chiefs is set at 39.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.04 and odds for the Under at $1.93.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Patriots and the Chiefs have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The Over/Under total of 39.5 points is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds

Patriots vs Chiefs: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Kansas City at $1.24 with PointsBet (87% probability) 🔥
  • Line: Patriots +9.5 at $2.06 with Betfair (50% probability)
  • Total Points: Over 39.5 at $2.04 with Betfair (50% probability)

Any time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best tips of the day across all sports.

Stats Insider's Patriots vs Chiefs betting tips are based on complex simulations and gambling expertise to give you the best possible advice around the clock.

Patriots vs Chiefs: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Chiefs at Gillette Stadium in Week 15 has the Chiefs winning 24-14.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

For more information, click or tap on See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full coverage of New England vs Kansas City in Week 15, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Patriots vs Chiefs: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs Chiefs? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Kansas City's Clyde Edwards-Helaire is the most likely player to score the first TD in Patriots vs Chiefs.

Edwards-Helaire has a 10.2% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Chiefs RB has a 37.8% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Patriots First TD Tips

  • Ezekiel Elliott: 9.3% probability
  • Demario Douglas: 5.7% probability
  • DeVante Parker: 5.5% probability
  • Bailey Zappe: 4.4% probability
  • Hunter Henry: 4.2% probability

Chiefs First TD Tips

  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 10.2% probability
  • Travis Kelce: 10.0% probability
  • Rashee Rice: 9.6% probability
  • Jerick McKinnon: 7.9% probability
  • Patrick Mahomes: 5.3% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Patriots Anytime TD Tips

  • Ezekiel Elliott: 37.1% probability
  • Demario Douglas: 24.6% probability
  • DeVante Parker: 23.4% probability
  • Bailey Zappe: 18.9% probability
  • Hunter Henry: 18.3% probability

Chiefs Anytime TD Tips

  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 37.8% probability
  • Travis Kelce: 36.3% probability
  • Rashee Rice: 35.5% probability
  • Jerick McKinnon: 31.1% probability
  • Patrick Mahomes: 21.2% probability

Patriots-Chiefs Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Bailey Zappe is projected for 207 passing yards. The Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for 255 yards.

Patriots Starting QB

  • Bailey Zappe: 207 projected passing yards

Chiefs Starting QB

  • Patrick Mahomes: 255 projected passing yards

Patriots Rushing Yards

  • Ezekiel Elliott: 57 projected yards
  • Bailey Zappe: 10 projected yards
  • Demario Douglas: 5 projected yards

Chiefs Rushing Yards

  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 47 projected yards
  • Patrick Mahomes: 23 projected yards
  • Jerick McKinnon: 15 projected yards

Patriots Receiving Yards

  • Demario Douglas: 52 projected yards
  • DeVante Parker: 46 projected yards
  • Hunter Henry: 26 projected yards
  • Ezekiel Elliott: 21 projected yards
  • Tyquan Thornton: 18 projected yards

Chiefs Receiving Yards

  • Travis Kelce: 74 projected yards
  • Rashee Rice: 60 projected yards
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 26 projected yards
  • Jerick McKinnon: 25 projected yards
  • Justin Watson: 21 projected yards

Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the New England vs Kansas City match-up at Gillette Stadium.

As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Patriots vs Chiefs: Week 15 Preview

The NFL Week 15 game between the Patriots and Chiefs at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.

Our New England vs Kansas City predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, tips for every NFL game, and Super Bowl probabilities for the NFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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