Patriots vs Colts Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 10, 2023
Last updated: Nov 12, 2023, 2:31PM | Published: Nov 6, 2023, 5:05AM
The New England Patriots take on the Indianapolis Colts in NFL Week 10 action at Deutsche Bank Park on Monday, beginning at 1:30am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Patriots vs Colts, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Patriots vs Colts
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's New England-Indianapolis NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Colts a 62% chance of defeating the Patriots at Deutsche Bank Park.
More: Patriots vs Colts Match Centre
Patriots vs Colts: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Deutsche Bank Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Patriots $2.05, Colts $1.83
- Line: Patriots +1 ($1.91), Colts -1 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Patriots at $2.05. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Colts at $1.83.
The Patriots are 1-point underdogs against the Colts, with odds of $1.91 currently available at PointsBet.
For the favourite Colts (-1) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 42.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91, while PointsBet currently has odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Colts (-1) have a 62% chance of covering the line, while the 42.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of going Over.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Patriots vs Colts: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Indianapolis at $1.83 with PointsBet (62% probability) 🔥
- Line: Colts -1 at $1.91 with PointsBet (62% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Over 42.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (52% probability)
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.
Stats Insider's Patriots vs Colts best bets are based on market-leading simulations and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
Patriots vs Colts: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Colts at Deutsche Bank Park in Week 10 has the Colts winning 22-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of New England vs Indianapolis in Week 10, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live scores.
Patriots vs Colts: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs Colts? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Indianapolis' Jonathan Taylor is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs Colts.
Taylor has a 15.4% chance of scoring the first TD at Deutsche Bank Park, while the Colts RB has a 56.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots First TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 9.5% probability
- Ezekiel Elliott: 7.7% probability
- Demario Douglas: 7.0% probability
- Hunter Henry: 6.1% probability
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 5.0% probability
Colts First TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 15.4% probability
- Michael Pittman: 8.7% probability
- Josh Downs: 8.5% probability
- Kylen Granson: 5.4% probability
- Alec Pierce: 3.8% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 38.6% probability
- Ezekiel Elliott: 33.6% probability
- Demario Douglas: 30.3% probability
- Hunter Henry: 26.7% probability
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 23.2% probability
Colts Anytime TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 56.4% probability
- Josh Downs: 35.5% probability
- Michael Pittman: 35.2% probability
- Kylen Granson: 22.7% probability
- Gardner Minshew: 17.3% probability
Patriots-Colts Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Mac Jones is projected for 190 passing yards. The Colts' Gardner Minshew is expected to throw for 243 yards.
Patriots Starting QB
- Mac Jones: 190 projected passing yards
Colts Starting QB
- Gardner Minshew: 243 projected passing yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 46 projected yards
- Ezekiel Elliott: 29 projected yards
- Mac Jones: 7 projected yards
Colts Rushing Yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 75 projected yards
- Zack Moss: 21 projected yards
- Gardner Minshew: 9 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- Demario Douglas: 48 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 38 projected yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 32 projected yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 24 projected yards
- Jalen Reagor: 19 projected yards
Colts Receiving Yards
- Michael Pittman: 54 projected yards
- Josh Downs: 51 projected yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 29 projected yards
- Kylen Granson: 28 projected yards
- Alec Pierce: 22 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the New England vs Indianapolis game at Deutsche Bank Park.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Patriots vs Colts: Week 10 Preview
The NFL Week 10 match-up between the Patriots and Colts at Deutsche Bank Park is scheduled to start at 1:30am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts
- Date: Monday 13 November 2023
- Time: 1:30am AEDT
- Venue: Deutsche Bank Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for New England vs Indianapolis are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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