Patriots vs Colts Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 13, 2024
Last updated: Dec 1, 2024, 5:51PM | Published: Nov 24, 2024, 6:00PM
The New England Patriots will take on the Indianapolis Colts in NFL Week 13 action at Gillette Stadium on Monday, starting at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Patriots vs Colts game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's New England vs Indianapolis NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Colts a 59% chance of winning against the Patriots at Gillette Stadium.
Patriots vs Colts: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Gillette Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Patriots $2.15, Colts $1.74
- Line: Patriots +2.5 ($1.91), Colts -2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 41 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Patriots at $2.15 and the Colts at $1.74.
The Patriots are listed as 2.5-point underdogs against the Colts, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Colts (-2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 41 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Patriots and the Colts have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 41-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Patriots vs Colts: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Indianapolis at $1.74 with Bet365
- Line: Colts -2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 41 at $1.91 with Bet365
Patriots vs Colts: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Colts at Gillette Stadium in Week 13 is the Colts winning 21-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the New England vs Indianapolis game in Week 13, including data-driven predictions and free tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Patriots vs Colts prediction.
Patriots vs Colts: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Patriots vs Colts? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Indianapolis' Jonathan Taylor is the most likely player to score the first TD in Patriots vs Colts.
Taylor has a 13.8% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Colts RB has a 52.0% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots First TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 9.1% probability
- Hunter Henry: 6.3% probability
- Kayshon Boutte: 5.8% probability
- DeMario Douglas: 4.9% probability
- Drake Maye: 4.7% probability
Colts First TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 13.8% probability
- Anthony Richardson: 11.2% probability
- Alec Pierce: 7.3% probability
- Michael Pittman: 7.2% probability
- Adonai Mitchell: 6.2% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 38.6% probability
- Kayshon Boutte: 26.0% probability
- Hunter Henry: 25.8% probability
- DeMario Douglas: 21.6% probability
- Drake Maye: 21.2% probability
Colts Anytime TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 52.0% probability
- Anthony Richardson: 43.8% probability
- Michael Pittman: 30.6% probability
- Alec Pierce: 29.2% probability
- Adonai Mitchell: 25.9% probability
Patriots-Colts Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Drake Maye is projected for 201 passing yards, while the Colts' Anthony Richardson is expected to throw for 186 yards.
Patriots Starting QB
- Drake Maye: 201 projected passing yards
Colts Starting QB
- Anthony Richardson: 186 projected passing yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 58 projected yards
- Drake Maye: 26 projected yards
- Antonio Gibson: 12 projected yards
Colts Rushing Yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 75 projected yards
- Anthony Richardson: 36 projected yards
- Trey Sermon: 8 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- DeMario Douglas: 46 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 42 projected yards
- Kayshon Boutte: 40 projected yards
- Kendrick Bourne: 35 projected yards
- Austin Hooper: 28 projected yards
Colts Receiving Yards
- Michael Pittman: 51 projected yards
- Adonai Mitchell: 46 projected yards
- Alec Pierce: 42 projected yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 16 projected yards
- Kylen Granson: 14 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the New England vs Indianapolis game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Patriots vs Colts: Week 13 Essential Details
The NFL Week 13 match-up between the Patriots and Colts at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts
- Date: Monday 2 December 2024
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our New England vs Indianapolis predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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