Patriots vs Dolphins Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 2, 2023
Last updated: Sep 18, 2023, 12:20AM | Published: Sep 13, 2023, 4:15AM
The New England Patriots take on the Miami Dolphins in NFL Week 2 action at Gillette Stadium on Monday, beginning at 10:20am AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Patriots vs Dolphins, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Patriots vs Dolphins
Based on detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's New England-Miami NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Dolphins a 55% chance of defeating the Patriots at Gillette Stadium.
More: Patriots vs Dolphins Match Centre
Patriots vs Dolphins: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Gillette Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Patriots $2.05, Dolphins $1.80
- Line: Patriots +1 ($1.91), Dolphins -1 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Patriots at $2.05 and the Dolphins at $1.80.
The Patriots are 1-point underdogs against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at PointsBet.
For the favourite Dolphins (-1) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 46 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91, while PointsBet currently has odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dolphins (-1) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the 46-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of staying Under.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Patriots vs Dolphins: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Miami at $1.80 with bet365 (55% probability)
- Line: Dolphins -1 at $1.91 with PointsBet (52% probability)
- Total Points: Under 46 at $1.91 with PointsBet (52% probability)
Our Patriots vs Dolphins betting tips are based on detailed simulations and gambling expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
Patriots vs Dolphins: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Dolphins at Gillette Stadium in Week 2 has the Dolphins winning 23-22.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of New England vs Miami in Week 2, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live scores.
Patriots vs Dolphins: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs Dolphins? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Miami's Tyreek Hill is the most likely player to score the first TD in Patriots vs Dolphins.
Hill has a 12.0% chance of getting in for six first at Gillette Stadium, while the Dolphins WR has a 49.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots First TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 10.4% probability
- Ezekiel Elliott: 6.6% probability
- Hunter Henry: 5.7% probability
- Kendrick Bourne: 5.2% probability
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 3.8% probability
Dolphins First TD Tips
- Tyreek Hill: 12.0% probability
- Raheem Mostert: 10.3% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 8.6% probability
- Braxton Berrios: 6.2% probability
- Salvon Ahmed: 4.4% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 44.2% probability
- Ezekiel Elliott: 29.4% probability
- Hunter Henry: 25.9% probability
- Kendrick Bourne: 24.3% probability
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 19.0% probability
Dolphins Anytime TD Tips
- Tyreek Hill: 49.6% probability
- Raheem Mostert: 44.8% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 36.8% probability
- Braxton Berrios: 28.7% probability
- Salvon Ahmed: 20.1% probability
Patriots-Dolphins Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Mac Jones is projected for 227 passing yards. The Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is expected to throw for 265 yards.
Patriots Starting QB
- Mac Jones: 227 projected passing yards
Dolphins Starting QB
- Tua Tagovailoa: 265 projected passing yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 72 projected yards
- Ezekiel Elliott: 29 projected yards
- Mac Jones: 9 projected yards
Dolphins Rushing Yards
- Raheem Mostert: 59 projected yards
- Salvon Ahmed: 16 projected yards
- De'Von Achane: 14 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- Kendrick Bourne: 44 projected yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 42 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 40 projected yards
- Demario Douglas: 30 projected yards
- DeVante Parker: 27 projected yards
Dolphins Receiving Yards
- Tyreek Hill: 85 projected yards
- Jaylen Waddle: 73 projected yards
- Durham Smythe: 25 projected yards
- Braxton Berrios: 25 projected yards
- River Cracraft: 18 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the New England vs Miami match-up at Gillette Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Patriots vs Dolphins: Week 2 Preview
The NFL Week 2 match-up between the Patriots and Dolphins at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to commence at 10:20am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins
- Date: Monday 18 September 2023
- Time: 10:20am AEST
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for New England vs Miami have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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