Patriots vs Dolphins Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 5, 2024
Last updated: Oct 6, 2024, 5:01PM | Published: Sep 29, 2024, 11:30PM
The New England Patriots will take on the Miami Dolphins in NFL Week 5 action at Gillette Stadium on Monday, commencing at 4:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Patriots vs Dolphins game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's New England vs Miami NFL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Dolphins a 60% chance of defeating the Patriots in Week 5 of the NFL season.
Patriots vs Dolphins: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Gillette Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Patriots $2.10, Dolphins $1.77
- Line: Patriots +2 ($1.91), Dolphins -2 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 37 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Patriots at $2.10 and the Dolphins at $1.77.
The Patriots are 2-point underdogs against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Dolphins (-2) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 37 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Patriots and the Dolphins have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 37-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Patriots vs Dolphins: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Miami at $1.77 with Bet365
- Line: Dolphins -2 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 37 at $1.91 with Bet365
Patriots vs Dolphins: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Dolphins at Gillette Stadium in Week 5 is the Dolphins winning 19-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the New England vs Miami game in Week 5, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Patriots vs Dolphins prediction.
Patriots vs Dolphins: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Patriots vs Dolphins? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Miami's De'Von Achane is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs Dolphins.
Achane has a 13.6% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Dolphins RB has a 45.5% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots First TD Tips
- Antonio Gibson: 9.7% probability
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 8.6% probability
- Ja'Lynn Polk: 5.4% probability
- Hunter Henry: 4.5% probability
- K.J. Osborn: 4.2% probability
Dolphins First TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 13.6% probability
- Tyreek Hill: 9.4% probability
- Raheem Mostert: 6.7% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 6.1% probability
- Tyler Huntley: 4.9% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- Antonio Gibson: 35.4% probability
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 30.9% probability
- Ja'Lynn Polk: 21.4% probability
- Hunter Henry: 17.6% probability
- K.J. Osborn: 16.1% probability
Dolphins Anytime TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 45.5% probability
- Tyreek Hill: 33.9% probability
- Raheem Mostert: 24.4% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 22.7% probability
- Tyler Huntley: 18.4% probability
Patriots-Dolphins Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Jacoby Brissett is projected for 181 passing yards, while the Dolphins' Tyler Huntley is expected to throw for just 162 yards.
Patriots Starting QB
- Jacoby Brissett: 181 projected passing yards
Dolphins Starting QB
- Tyler Huntley: 162 projected passing yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 44 projected yards
- Antonio Gibson: 40 projected yards
- Jacoby Brissett: 12 projected yards
Dolphins Rushing Yards
- De'Von Achane: 66 projected yards
- Raheem Mostert: 31 projected yards
- Tyler Huntley: 17 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- Ja'Lynn Polk: 36 projected yards
- DeMario Douglas: 27 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 25 projected yards
- K.J. Osborn: 21 projected yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 16 projected yards
Dolphins Receiving Yards
- Tyreek Hill: 63 projected yards
- Jaylen Waddle: 49 projected yards
- De'Von Achane: 23 projected yards
- Jonnu Smith: 20 projected yards
- Durham Smythe: 11 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the New England vs Miami game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Patriots vs Dolphins: Week 5 Essential Details
The NFL Week 5 match-up between the Patriots and Dolphins at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins
- Date: Monday 7 October 2024
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our New England vs Miami predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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