Patriots vs Eagles Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 1, 2023
Last updated: Sep 10, 2023, 8:21PM | Published: Aug 31, 2023, 1:25AM
The New England Patriots square off with the Philadelphia Eagles in NFL Week 1 action at Gillette Stadium on Monday, beginning at 6:25am AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Patriots vs Eagles, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Patriots vs Eagles
Using detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's New England-Philadelphia NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Eagles a 65% chance of beating the Patriots at Gillette Stadium.
More: Patriots vs Eagles Match Centre
Patriots vs Eagles: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Gillette Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Patriots $2.65, Eagles $1.54
- Line: Patriots +3.5 ($1.91), Eagles -3.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Patriots at $2.65 and the Eagles at $1.54.
The Patriots are 3.5-point underdogs against the Eagles, with odds of $1.91 currently available at bet365.
For the favourite Eagles (-3.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for Patriots vs Eagles sits at 43.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Patriots and the Eagles have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 43.5-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of going Over.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Patriots vs Eagles: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Philadelphia at $1.54 with bet365 (65% probability)
- Line: Eagles -3.5 at $1.95 with PointsBet (50% probability)
- Total Points: Over 43.5 at $1.91 with PointsBet (55% probability)
Our Patriots vs Eagles best bets are based on world-class modelling and betting experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Patriots vs Eagles: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Eagles at Gillette Stadium in Week 1 has the Eagles winning 24-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of New England vs Philadelphia in Week 1, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live scores.
Patriots vs Eagles: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs Eagles? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Philadelphia's Jalen Hurts is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs Eagles.
Hurts has a 12.0% chance of getting in for six first at Gillette Stadium, while the Eagles QB has a 46.5% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots First TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 11.9% probability
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 6.4% probability
- Ezekiel Elliott: 5.4% probability
- Hunter Henry: 4.8% probability
- Mike Gesicki: 4.6% probability
Eagles First TD Tips
- Jalen Hurts: 12.0% probability
- A.J. Brown: 9.3% probability
- DeVonta Smith: 7.1% probability
- Dallas Goedert: 6.7% probability
- D'Andre Swift: 6.1% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 48.4% probability
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 28.1% probability
- Ezekiel Elliott: 23.6% probability
- Mike Gesicki: 22.2% probability
- Hunter Henry: 22.1% probability
Eagles Anytime TD Tips
- Jalen Hurts: 46.5% probability
- A.J. Brown: 38.5% probability
- DeVonta Smith: 31.4% probability
- Dallas Goedert: 28.6% probability
- D'Andre Swift: 27.8% probability
Patriots-Eagles Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Mac Jones is projected for 214 passing yards. The Eagles' Jalen Hurts is expected to throw for 210 yards.
Patriots Starting QB
- Mac Jones: 214 projected passing yards
Eagles Starting QB
- Jalen Hurts: 210 projected passing yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 71 projected yards
- Ezekiel Elliott: 30 projected yards
- Mac Jones: 8 projected yards
Eagles Rushing Yards
- D'Andre Swift: 49 projected yards
- Kenneth Gainwell: 47 projected yards
- Jalen Hurts: 41 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 57 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 33 projected yards
- Kendrick Bourne: 28 projected yards
- Demario Douglas: 20 projected yards
- Mike Gesicki: 19 projected yards
Eagles Receiving Yards
- A.J. Brown: 77 projected yards
- DeVonta Smith: 60 projected yards
- Dallas Goedert: 48 projected yards
- D'Andre Swift: 22 projected yards
- Quez Watkins: 17 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the New England vs Philadelphia game at Gillette Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Patriots vs Eagles: Week 1 Preview
The NFL Week 1 game between the Patriots and Eagles at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 6:25am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: New England Patriots vs Philadelphia Eagles
- Date: Monday 11 September 2023
- Time: 6:25am AEST
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for New England vs Philadelphia are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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