Patriots vs Rams Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 11, 2024
Last updated: Nov 17, 2024, 5:50PM | Published: Nov 10, 2024, 11:20PM
The New England Patriots will take on the favoured Los Angeles Rams in NFL Week 11 action at Gillette Stadium on Monday, beginning at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Patriots vs Rams game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's New England vs LA Rams NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Rams a 66% chance of defeating the Patriots at Gillette Stadium.
Patriots vs Rams: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Gillette Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Patriots $2.75, Rams $1.48
- Line: Patriots +4 ($1.91), Rams -4 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Patriots at $2.75 and the Rams at $1.48.
The Patriots are 4-point underdogs against the Rams, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Rams (-4) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 42 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Patriots and the Rams have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 42-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Patriots vs Rams: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: New England at $2.75 with Bet365
- Line: Rams -4 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 42 at $1.91 with Bet365
While the Rams have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Patriots to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Patriots vs Rams: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Rams at Gillette Stadium in Week 11 is the Rams prevailing 22-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the New England vs LA Rams game in Week 11, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Patriots vs Rams prediction.
Patriots vs Rams: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Patriots vs Rams? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Los Angeles' Kyren Williams is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs Rams.
Williams has a 15.0% chance of getting in for six first at Gillette Stadium, while the Rams RB has a 55.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots First TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 10.8% probability
- Kayshon Boutte: 5.5% probability
- Hunter Henry: 5.3% probability
- DeMario Douglas: 5.1% probability
- Drake Maye: 4.8% probability
Rams First TD Tips
- Kyren Williams: 15.0% probability
- Puka Nacua: 8.9% probability
- Cooper Kupp: 8.9% probability
- Demarcus Robinson: 4.2% probability
- Davis Allen: 4.1% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 44.0% probability
- Kayshon Boutte: 25.1% probability
- Hunter Henry: 24.1% probability
- DeMario Douglas: 23.7% probability
- Drake Maye: 22.2% probability
Rams Anytime TD Tips
- Kyren Williams: 55.0% probability
- Puka Nacua: 36.6% probability
- Cooper Kupp: 36.0% probability
- Demarcus Robinson: 18.7% probability
- Davis Allen: 18.5% probability
Patriots-Rams Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Drake Maye is projected for 188 passing yards. The Rams' Matthew Stafford is expected to throw for 260 yards.
Patriots Starting QB
- Drake Maye: 188 projected passing yards
Rams Starting QB
- Matthew Stafford: 260 projected passing yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 62 projected yards
- Drake Maye: 26 projected yards
- Antonio Gibson: 15 projected yards
Rams Rushing Yards
- Kyren Williams: 89 projected yards
- Blake Corum: 14 projected yards
- Matthew Stafford: 7 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- DeMario Douglas: 45 projected yards
- Kayshon Boutte: 40 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 36 projected yards
- Austin Hooper: 20 projected yards
- Kendrick Bourne: 18 projected yards
Rams Receiving Yards
- Puka Nacua: 73 projected yards
- Cooper Kupp: 69 projected yards
- Demarcus Robinson: 31 projected yards
- Davis Allen: 31 projected yards
- Tyler Higbee: 16 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the New England vs LA Rams game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Patriots vs Rams: Week 11 Essential Details
The NFL Week 11 game between the Patriots and Rams at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Rams
- Date: Monday 18 November 2024
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our New England vs LA Rams predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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