Patriots vs Saints Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 5, 2023
Last updated: Oct 8, 2023, 4:50PM | Published: Oct 3, 2023, 4:00AM
The New England Patriots face the New Orleans Saints in NFL Week 5 action at Gillette Stadium on Monday, beginning at 4:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Patriots vs Saints, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Patriots vs Saints
Based on detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's New England-New Orleans NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Patriots a 60% chance of winning against the Saints at Gillette Stadium.
More: Patriots vs Saints Match Centre
Patriots vs Saints: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Gillette Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Patriots $1.77, Saints $2.10
- Line: Patriots -2 ($1.91), Saints +2 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 38.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Patriots at $1.77. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Saints at $2.10.
The Patriots are listed as 2-point favourites against the Saints, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at bet365.
For the underdog Saints (+2) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 38.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91, while PointsBet currently has odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Saints (+2) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the 38.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of going Over.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Patriots vs Saints: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: New England at $1.77 with bet365 (60% probability)
- Line: Saints +2 at $1.91 with PointsBet (52% probability)
- Total Points: Over 38.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (51% probability)
Today's Patriots vs Saints betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Patriots vs Saints: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Saints at Gillette Stadium in Week 5 has the Patriots winning 20-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of New England vs New Orleans in Week 5, including pre-game predictions, free tips, and live win probabilities.
Patriots vs Saints: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs Saints? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, New Orleans' Alvin Kamara is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs Saints.
Kamara has a 9.9% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Saints RB has a 38.4% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots First TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 9.4% probability
- Ezekiel Elliott: 8.6% probability
- Hunter Henry: 7.4% probability
- DeVante Parker: 6.1% probability
- Kendrick Bourne: 4.6% probability
Saints First TD Tips
- Alvin Kamara: 9.9% probability
- Chris Olave: 9.5% probability
- Rashid Shaheed: 8.1% probability
- Michael Thomas: 7.7% probability
- Foster Moreau: 4.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 36.9% probability
- Ezekiel Elliott: 34.2% probability
- Hunter Henry: 29.0% probability
- DeVante Parker: 24.3% probability
- Kendrick Bourne: 18.4% probability
Saints Anytime TD Tips
- Alvin Kamara: 38.4% probability
- Chris Olave: 36.0% probability
- Rashid Shaheed: 32.6% probability
- Michael Thomas: 29.9% probability
- Foster Moreau: 18.6% probability
Patriots-Saints Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Mac Jones is projected for 209 passing yards, while the Saints' Derek Carr is expected to throw for 212 yards.
Patriots Starting QB
- Mac Jones: 209 projected passing yards
Saints Starting QB
- Derek Carr: 212 projected passing yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 59 projected yards
- Ezekiel Elliott: 28 projected yards
- Mac Jones: 9 projected yards
Saints Rushing Yards
- Alvin Kamara: 49 projected yards
- Taysom Hill: 14 projected yards
- Kendre Miller: 8 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- Hunter Henry: 44 projected yards
- DeVante Parker: 41 projected yards
- Kendrick Bourne: 36 projected yards
- Demario Douglas: 25 projected yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 25 projected yards
Saints Receiving Yards
- Chris Olave: 67 projected yards
- Michael Thomas: 47 projected yards
- Rashid Shaheed: 37 projected yards
- Alvin Kamara: 31 projected yards
- Foster Moreau: 24 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the New England vs New Orleans game at Gillette Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Patriots vs Saints: Week 5 Preview
The NFL Week 5 match-up between the Patriots and Saints at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints
- Date: Monday 9 October 2023
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for New England vs New Orleans have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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