Patriots vs Texans Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 6, 2024
Last updated: Oct 13, 2024, 5:01PM | Published: Oct 6, 2024, 5:00PM
The New England Patriots will sqaure off with the favoured Houston Texans in NFL Week 6 action at Gillette Stadium on Monday, starting at 4:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Patriots vs Texans game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's New England vs Houston NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Texans a 75% chance of winning against the Patriots at Gillette Stadium.
Patriots vs Texans: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Gillette Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Patriots $3.35, Texans $1.34
- Line: Patriots +6.5 ($1.91), Texans -6.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 39.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Patriots at $3.35 and the Texans at $1.34.
The Patriots are 6.5-point underdogs against the Texans, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Texans (-6.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 39.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Patriots and the Texans have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 39.5-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Patriots vs Texans: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Houston at $1.34 with Bet365
- Line: Texans -6.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 39.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Patriots vs Texans: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Texans at Gillette Stadium in Week 6 is the Texans winning 22-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the New England vs Houston game in Week 6, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Patriots vs Texans prediction.
Patriots vs Texans: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Patriots vs Texans? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Houston's Stefon Diggs is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs Texans.
Diggs has an 11.5% chance of getting in for six first at Gillette Stadium, while the Texans WR has a 40.8% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots First TD Tips
- Antonio Gibson: 8.5% probability
- JaMycal Hasty: 4.7% probability
- Drake Maye: 4.3% probability
- Ja'Lynn Polk: 4.2% probability
- Hunter Henry: 3.8% probability
Texans First TD Tips
- Stefon Diggs: 11.5% probability
- Joe Mixon: 10.9% probability
- Tank Dell: 9.3% probability
- Dalton Schultz: 7.2% probability
- Dameon Pierce: 4.6% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- Antonio Gibson: 32.5% probability
- JaMycal Hasty: 18.2% probability
- Ja'Lynn Polk: 17.5% probability
- Drake Maye: 17.4% probability
- Hunter Henry: 15.0% probability
Texans Anytime TD Tips
- Stefon Diggs: 40.8% probability
- Joe Mixon: 38.4% probability
- Tank Dell: 34.1% probability
- Dalton Schultz: 27.6% probability
- Dameon Pierce: 18.4% probability
Patriots-Texans Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Drake Maye is projected for 174 passing yards, while the Texans' C.J. Stroud is expected to throw for 281 yards.
Patriots Starting QB
- Drake Maye: 174 projected passing yards
Texans Starting QB
- C.J. Stroud: 281 projected passing yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- Antonio Gibson: 48 projected yards
- JaMycal Hasty: 30 projected yards
- Drake Maye: 25 projected yards
Texans Rushing Yards
- Joe Mixon: 54 projected yards
- Dameon Pierce: 18 projected yards
- C.J. Stroud: 13 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- Ja'Lynn Polk: 39 projected yards
- Kendrick Bourne: 35 projected yards
- DeMario Douglas: 30 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 27 projected yards
- Antonio Gibson: 22 projected yards
Texans Receiving Yards
- Stefon Diggs: 60 projected yards
- Tank Dell: 56 projected yards
- Dalton Schultz: 42 projected yards
- Joe Mixon: 19 projected yards
- Xavier Hutchinson: 15 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the New England vs Houston match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Patriots vs Texans: Week 6 Essential Details
The NFL Week 6 match-up between the Patriots and Texans at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: New England Patriots vs Houston Texans
- Date: Monday 14 October 2024
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our New England vs Houston predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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