Phillies vs Marlins Prediction and MLB Tips - 21 April 2025
Apr 20, 2025, 1:29AM
The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Miami Marlins in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Monday, beginning at 3:35am AEST.
The Phillies will have Jesús Luzardo (2-0, 2.31 ERA) start, pitting him against Connor Gillispie (0-2, 6.63 ERA) for the Marlins.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Phillies vs Marlins game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Philadelphia vs Miami MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Phillies a 74% chance of beating the Marlins at Citizens Bank Park.
Phillies vs Marlins: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Phillies $1.31, Marlins $3.60
- Line: Phillies -1.5 ($1.67), Marlins +1.5 ($2.25)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.31 and the Marlins at $3.60.
The Phillies are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Marlins, with odds of $1.67 available at TAB.
For the underdog Marlins (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.25.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Phillies (-1.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Phillies vs Marlins: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Philadelphia at $1.31 with TAB
- Line: Marlins +1.5 at $2.25 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Stats Insider's Phillies vs Marlins betting tips are based on detailed simulations and wagering intelligence to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.
Although the Phillies are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Marlins +1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Phillies vs Marlins: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Philadelphia vs Miami game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Philadelphia vs Miami match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Phillies vs Marlins: Essential Details
The match-up between the Phillies and Marlins at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to begin at 3:35am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Monday 21 April 2025
- Time: 3:35am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs Miami predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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