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Phillies vs Nationals Prediction and MLB Tips - 17 August 2024

The Philadelphia Phillies will sqaure off with the Washington Nationals in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday, beginning at 8:40am AEST.

The Phillies will have Aaron Nola (11-6, 3.60 ERA) start, up against Patrick Corbin (2-12, 5.98 ERA) for the Nationals.

This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Phillies vs Nationals game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Philadelphia vs Washington MLB game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Phillies a 68% chance of defeating the Nationals at Citizens Bank Park.

Phillies vs Nationals: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Phillies $1.36, Nationals $3.30
  • Line: Phillies -1.5 ($1.72), Nationals +1.5 ($2.20)
  • Total (Over/Under 9.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Phillies at $1.36 and the Nationals at $3.30.

The Phillies are 1.5-run favourites against the Nationals, with odds of $1.72 available at TAB.

For the underdog Nationals (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.20.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Phillies (-1.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 9.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.

Phillies vs Nationals: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Washington at $3.30 with TAB (2.5% edge)
  • Line: Nationals +1.5 at $2.20 with TAB (4.1% edge) 🔥
  • Total Runs: Under 9.5 at $1.91 with TAB (55% probability)

If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best tips for today across all sports.

Today's Phillies vs Nationals predictions are based on detailed simulations and gambling experience to provide you with the best possible advice every time.

And while the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Nationals to win is our preferred option because of the 2.5% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.

Even though the Phillies are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Nationals +1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.

Phillies vs Nationals: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Philadelphia vs Washington game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.

Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Philadelphia vs Washington match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Phillies vs Nationals: Essential Details

The match-up between the Phillies and Nationals at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to begin at 8:40am AEST on Saturday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

If you're betting from the United States, check out the latest Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" now!

Conclusion

Our Philadelphia vs Washington predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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