Pirates vs Diamondbacks Prediction and MLB Tips - 4 August 2024
Last updated: Aug 3, 2024, 10:40PM | Published: Aug 2, 2024, 7:57PM
The Pittsburgh Pirates will face the Arizona Diamondbacks in MLB action at PNC Park on Sunday, beginning at 8:40am AEST.
The Pirates will have Mitch Keller (10-5, 3.30 ERA) start, up against Jordan Montgomery (7-5, 6.51 ERA) for the Diamondbacks.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Pirates vs Diamondbacks game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Pittsburgh vs Arizona MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Pirates a 51% chance of defeating the Diamondbacks at PNC Park.
Pirates vs Diamondbacks: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at PNC Park are shown below:
- Head to Head: Pirates $1.80, Diamondbacks $2.00
- Line: Pirates +1.5 ($1.47), Diamondbacks -1.5 ($2.65)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Pirates at $1.80 and the Diamondbacks at $2.00.
The Pirates are 1.5-run underdogs against the Diamondbacks, with odds of $1.47 available at TAB.
For the favourite Diamondbacks (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.65.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Pirates (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 64% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Pirates vs Diamondbacks: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Arizona at $2.00 with TAB (1.4% edge)
- Line: Diamondbacks -1.5 at $2.65 with TAB (0.4% edge)
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB (52% probability)
Our Pirates vs Diamondbacks best bets are based on detailed modelling and gambling expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
And while the Pirates have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Diamondbacks to win is our preferred option due to the 1.4% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Even though the Pirates are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Diamondbacks -1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Pirates vs Diamondbacks: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Pittsburgh vs Arizona game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Pittsburgh vs Arizona game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Pirates vs Diamondbacks: Essential Details
The match-up between the Pirates and Diamondbacks at PNC Park is scheduled to commence at 8:40am AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks
- Date: Sunday 4 August 2024
- Time: 8:40am AEST
- Venue: PNC Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Our Pittsburgh vs Arizona predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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