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Pirates vs Marlins Prediction and MLB Tips - 12 September 2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates will sqaure off with the Miami Marlins in MLB action at PNC Park on Thursday, commencing at 2:35am AEST.

The Pirates will have Bailey Falter (7-7, 4.45 ERA) start, pitting him against Jonathan Bermúdez (0-0, 5.79 ERA) for the Marlins.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Pirates vs Marlins game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Pittsburgh vs Miami MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Pirates a 57% chance of defeating the Marlins at PNC Park.

Pirates vs Marlins: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at PNC Park are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Pirates $1.62, Marlins $2.30
  • Line: Pirates -1.5 ($2.29), Marlins +1.5 ($1.62)
  • Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Pirates at $1.62 and the Marlins at $2.30.

The Pirates are 1.5-run favourites against the Marlins, with odds of $2.29 available at TAB.

For the underdog Marlins (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.62.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Marlins (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 61% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.

Pirates vs Marlins: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Miami at $2.30 with TAB
  • Line: Marlins +1.5 at $1.62 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB

Today's Pirates vs Marlins betting tips are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Pirates have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Marlins to win is our preferred option due to the 2.0% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.

Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 8.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($1.91) that are available from TAB.

Pirates vs Marlins: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Pittsburgh vs Miami game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Pittsburgh vs Miami game.

As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Pirates vs Marlins: Essential Details

The match-up between the Pirates and Marlins at PNC Park is scheduled to start at 2:35am AEST on Thursday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Pittsburgh vs Miami predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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