Port Adelaide vs Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 23, 2024
Last updated: Aug 17, 2024, 9:25AM | Published: Aug 12, 2024, 2:31AM
Port Adelaide will sqaure off with Adelaide in AFL Round 23 action at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, beginning at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Port Adelaide vs Adelaide game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Port Adelaide vs Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Power a 64% chance of winning against the Crows at Adelaide Oval.
Port Adelaide vs Adelaide: Odds
The latest betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed below:
- Head to Head: Port Adelaide $1.53, Adelaide $2.86
- Line: Port Adelaide -13.5 ($1.98), Adelaide +13.5 ($1.96)
- Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $2.10, Under $1.81
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Port Adelaide at $1.53 and Adelaide at $2.86.
The Power are listed as 13.5-point favourites against the Crows, with odds of $1.98 available at Betfair.
For the underdog Crows (+13.5) to cover the line, Betfair offers odds of $1.96.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 168.5 with Betfair, which has odds of $2.10 for the over and $1.81 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Crows (+13.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 168.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 57% of the time.
Port Adelaide vs Adelaide: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Adelaide at $2.86 with Betfair (0.8% edge)
- Line: Adelaide +13.5 at $1.96 with Betfair (54% probability)
- Total Points: Under 168.5 at $1.81 with Betfair (57% probability)
Our Port Adelaide vs Adelaide betting tips are based on detailed modelling and gambling expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Power have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Crows to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Port Adelaide vs Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Port Adelaide vs Adelaide at Adelaide Oval this Saturday is Port Adelaide winning 87-77.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Port Adelaide vs Adelaide match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Port Adelaide vs Adelaide: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for Port Adelaide vs Adelaide goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Adelaide's Darcy Fogarty is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Port Adelaide vs Adelaide.
Fogarty has a 7.4% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Crows star has an 89.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Port Adelaide
- Charlie Dixon: 6.6% probability
- Willie Rioli: 6.0% probability
- Jason Horne-Francis: 5.1% probability
- Darcy Byrne-Jones: 4.6% probability
- Quinton Narkle: 4.1% probability
Adelaide
- Darcy Fogarty: 7.4% probability
- Izak Rankine: 5.9% probability
- Ben Keays: 4.6% probability
- Riley Thilthorpe: 4.2% probability
- Josh Rachele: 4.0% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Port Adelaide
- Charlie Dixon: 86.0% probability
- Willie Rioli: 82.8% probability
- Jason Horne-Francis: 77.9% probability
- Darcy Byrne-Jones: 71.3% probability
- Quinton Narkle: 69.1% probability
Adelaide
- Darcy Fogarty: 89.2% probability
- Izak Rankine: 83.3% probability
- Ben Keays: 74.0% probability
- Josh Rachele: 69.6% probability
- Riley Thilthorpe: 69.1% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Port Adelaide vs Adelaide match.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Port Adelaide vs Adelaide: Essential Details
The AFL Round 23 clash between the Power and Crows at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Port Adelaide vs Adelaide
- Date: Saturday 17 August 2024
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
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Conclusion
Our Port Adelaide vs Adelaide predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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