Port Adelaide vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 12, 2024
Last updated: May 30, 2024, 9:01AM | Published: May 26, 2024, 1:36PM
Port Adelaide will take on Carlton in AFL Round 12 action at Adelaide Oval on Thursday, beginning at 7:30pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Port Adelaide vs Carlton game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Port Adelaide vs Carlton
Based on detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Port Adelaide-Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Power a 57% chance of beating the Blues in Round 12 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Port Adelaide vs Carlton Match Centre
Port Adelaide vs Carlton: Odds
The current betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed here:
- Head to Head: Port Adelaide $1.62, Carlton $2.60
- Line: Port Adelaide -7.5 ($1.92), Carlton +7.5 ($2.06)
- Total (Over/Under 165.5 Points): Over $1.94, Under $2.04
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Port Adelaide at $1.62 and Carlton at $2.60.
The Power are 7.5-point favourites against the Blues, with odds of $1.92 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Blues (+7.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.06.
The over/under for Port Adelaide vs Carlton is set at 165.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $1.94 and odds for the under at $2.04.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Blues (+7.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the 165.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Port Adelaide vs Carlton: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Carlton at $2.60 with Betfair (4.6% edge) 🔥
- Line: Carlton +7.5 at $2.06 with Betfair (53% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 165.5 at $2.04 with Betfair (55% probability) 🔥
Every time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.
These Port Adelaide vs Carlton best bets are based on complex modelling and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Power have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Blues to win is our recommended option due to the 4.6% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Port Adelaide vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Port Adelaide vs Carlton at Adelaide Oval on Thursday has Port Adelaide winning 84-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Port Adelaide vs Carlton on Thursday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live scores.
Port Adelaide vs Carlton: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for Port Adelaide vs Carlton goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Charlie Curnow is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Port Adelaide vs Carlton.
Curnow has a 7.8% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Blues star has an 88.7% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Port Adelaide
- Charlie Dixon: 6.4% probability
- Mitch Georgiades: 6.2% probability
- Jeremy Finlayson: 5.9% probability
- Todd Marshall: 5.8% probability
- Darcy Byrne-Jones: 4.0% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 7.8% probability
- Harry McKay: 7.1% probability
- Matthew Owies: 4.6% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 3.8% probability
- Tom De Koning: 3.0% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Port Adelaide
- Charlie Dixon: 82.7% probability
- Mitch Georgiades: 81.1% probability
- Todd Marshall: 79.9% probability
- Jeremy Finlayson: 79.7% probability
- Darcy Byrne-Jones: 64.1% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 88.7% probability
- Harry McKay: 87.5% probability
- Matthew Owies: 70.2% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 64.4% probability
- Tom De Koning: 53.7% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Port Adelaide vs Carlton match at Adelaide Oval.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Port Adelaide vs Carlton: Preview
The AFL Round 12 clash between the Power and Blues at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Port Adelaide vs Carlton
- Date: Thursday 30 May 2024
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our Port Adelaide vs Carlton predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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