Port Adelaide vs Geelong Prediction and Tips - AFL Finals Week 1 2024
Last updated: Sep 5, 2024, 9:35AM | Published: Sep 3, 2024, 7:06AM
Port Adelaide will take on Geelong in AFL Finals Week 1 action at Adelaide Oval on Thursday, commencing at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Port Adelaide vs Geelong game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Port Adelaide vs Geelong AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Power a 66% chance of defeating the Cats in the first week of AFL finals.
Port Adelaide vs Geelong: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are shown here:
- Head to Head: Port Adelaide $1.38, Geelong $3.20
- Line: Port Adelaide -16.5 ($1.91), Geelong +16.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 167.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Port Adelaide at $1.38 and Geelong at $3.20.
The Power are listed as 16.5-point favourites against the Cats, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Cats (+16.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 167.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Cats (+16.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 167.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 57% of the time.
Port Adelaide vs Geelong: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Geelong at $3.20 with Bet365
- Line: Geelong +16.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 167.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Port Adelaide vs Geelong betting tips are based on detailed simulations and betting experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Power have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Cats to win is our recommended option due to the 2.9% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Port Adelaide vs Geelong: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Port Adelaide vs Geelong at Adelaide Oval on Thursday is Port Adelaide prevailing 87-76.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Port Adelaide vs Geelong match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Port Adelaide vs Geelong: Goal Kickers
Looking for Port Adelaide vs Geelong goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, P Adelaide's Mitch Georgiades is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Port Adelaide vs Geelong.
Georgiades has a 7.3% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Power star has an 86.7% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 7.3% probability
- Charlie Dixon: 5.0% probability
- Willie Rioli: 5.0% probability
- Jason Horne-Francis: 4.6% probability
- Darcy Byrne-Jones: 3.8% probability
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 6.0% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 5.5% probability
- Oliver Henry: 5.2% probability
- Shannon Neale: 3.9% probability
- Shaun Mannagh: 3.4% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 86.7% probability
- Charlie Dixon: 73.9% probability
- Willie Rioli: 72.6% probability
- Jason Horne-Francis: 71.6% probability
- Quinton Narkle: 64.4% probability
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 83.8% probability
- Oliver Henry: 75.4% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 74.7% probability
- Shannon Neale: 66.2% probability
- Shaun Mannagh: 61.4% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Port Adelaide vs Geelong game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Port Adelaide vs Geelong: Essential Details
The AFL Finals clash between the Power and Cats at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to start at 7:40pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Port Adelaide vs Geelong
- Date: Thursday 5 September 2024
- Time: 7:40pm AEST
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Port Adelaide vs Geelong predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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